Research for Reliability

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July 1, 1977

This paper evaluates a data base management system for multilateral negotiations. The paper principally reports the results of two tests to determine the reliability of the project's thematic content analysis and policy-scaling techniques.

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June 1, 1976
This study reviews three problem areas of aircraft engine maintenance in the Navy: the setting of maximum operating times, the performance of overhauls for cause instead of repairs, and the site of engine repair. All of the problem areas affect in some way the number of engine overhauls performed annually. The study assesses the effectiveness of engine overhaul from a safety and reliability standpoint by analyzing Navy data on engine-related aircraft mishaps and engine removals. The analysis revealed that within the current range of operations engines wear in but under current policies of continued repair/replacement and relatively short times between overhauls, engines as a system do not wear out. Consequently, policies which would decrease the number of overhauls performed annually and increase the time between overhauls appear to be reasonable from a reliability and safety standpoint. Using a model of the engine repair and overhaul pipeline, the study finds that three new policies, two of which would increase the time between overhauls, result in lower annual maintenance costs and improved spare engine availability.
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December 1, 1975
This memorandum characterizes the prediction value of a plot as a whole by testing all the positions as definite. The displacements (distances) of evaluated submarine contacts from the nearest plotted submarine on the COMINCH submarine chart last issued before the time of the contact serve as a basis for the analysis. A reliability index for several zones is calculated. See also 91 090018.
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June 1, 1974
In this paper, the reliability of a complex system is investigated. Special cases of the system include the 'spare parts' or 'standby redundancy' problem and the 'repair' problem. Also included in the system is the opportunity for 'cannibalization'. A theorem is given indicating the proper use of this activity. The spare parts problem and the repair problem are analyzed separately. Methods of combining the two analyses are then given in order to obtain bounds and approximations to total system reliability.
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