Research for PP

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March 1, 1987
This paper describes some of the important elements of wargame design, development, and play. Wargame design is the art of creating a warfare model or simulation to be used in wargaming; wargame development is the process of testing and refining that model to make it more effective in achieving its objectives; and wargame play is the exercising of the model by becoming an integral part of it.
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November 1, 1986
A review of Marshal N.V. Ogarkov's writings from 1977-85 reveals that the former Chief of the Soviet General Staff has consistently augured that phenomenon which General William Odom recently dubbed the 'third revolution' in Soviet military affairs. Far from signally the slightest attenuation of his public views, Ogarkov's 1985 book indicates that he has in fact intensified his drive to galvanize awareness of the altered military utility of nuclear weapons, the qualitatively new combat characteristics of conventional means, and the need to adapt the forms and methods of combat action accordingly. His latest 'operation in a TVD' may indeed reflect a 'revolutionized' Soviet military science, and his own activities since September 1984--its formal debut.
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October 1, 1986
The Old Age and Survivor's Insurance (OASI) programs of Social Security and the military retirement system are two of the largest and fastest growing income replacement programs in the United States. The size of these programs, in terms of both coverage and cost, make them of continuing interest to policymakers. Although both OASI and the military retirement system provide substantial amounts of income for retirees, they are fundamentally different. In addition to providing retirement annuities, OASI attempts to improve the social welfare by redistributing income toward the old and the retired poor (i.e., those with low earnings histories). The military retirement system helps manage military manpower. This system provides incentives for some personnel to remain in military service, and incentives for others to retire. Through this system the military is able to maintain an experienced force with sufficient youth and vigor to cope with the rigors and stresses of military life.
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October 1, 1986
The Job Performance Measurement Project has broken new ground by embarking on the large-scale development and administration of hands-on job performance tests. In the next stage, this pioneering effort can go even futher in helping to rationalize the selection and classification process by evaluating the cost-effectiveness of enlistment standards. This paper outlines a process for such an evaluation.
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August 1, 1986
The development of nuclear weapons created a watershed in the history of military strategy. Heretofore, the ability to deter war had depended on the ability to defend oneself against attack and to defeat an aggressor. As nuclear weapons became increasingly powerful, and their means of delivery more unstopable, this relationship was shattered. This paper explores the development of nuclear deterrence from both the U.S. and Soviet perspectives, and discusses the effect of strategic defense on arms control.
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April 1, 1986
Search theory came into being during World War II with the work of the Antisubmarine Warfare Operations Research Group (ASWORG). Many of the fundamental concepts of search theory such as sweep width and sweep rate were established by the spring of 1942. Since that time, search theory has grown to be a major discipline within the field of Operations Research. This article reviews the literature on search theory, and provides an illustration of how search theory can be used to solve an optimal search problem.
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February 1, 1986
The Reagan Administration has made a marked departure from recent American administrations in its emphasis on strategic defense. This article examines the effect of this new direction in U.S. defense policy on strategic arms control. It focuses particularly on questions raised for the 1972 Antiballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty.
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February 1, 1986
The Navy Selected Reserve (SELRES) is slated to grow by 30 percent over the next five years. This paper addresses the question, are those numbers attainable and at what price? Information discussing SELRES enlistment, continuation and cost-effective growth strategies is included. The tentative answer is yes, over the next five years if real military pay does not decline. A model is being put together including pay elasticities, unemployment rate elasticities, and demographic differences for each rating for enlistment and retention of prior service veterans.
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October 1, 1985
This paper reports on the literature survey of a study of competition in defense procurement. The papers reviewed are retrospective evaluations of the effects of competition on the costs of weapons programs already completed. The commonly accepted model used to evaluate competition is presented. Then, the data and results from the literature are discussed. Finally, the paper gives some tentative conclusions on the adequacy of the model as both a retrospective and prospective tool for analyzing the effects of competition.
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August 1, 1985
Presents an overview of the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA); its staff, organization, field program, relationship with the U.S. Navy and USMC, and its history since WWII. Also discusses topics for future research projects.
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