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June 1, 1998
This paper combines material from the session on Haiti and Operation UPHOLD DEMOCRACY at the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA) 1995 Annual Conference: 'Military Support to Complex Humanitarian Emergencies: From Practice to Policy.' The Haiti panel discussion was part of Session I: 'Reports From the Fronts: What Our Military Does Today to Support Responses to Complex Humanitarian Emergencies.' Although the proceedings from the conference have been published elsewhere, this paper incorporates conference read-ahead material with session details that have not previously been published. The paper has two parts. The first part contains material distributed before the sessions began. The second section is an edited summary of the Haiti panel discussion.
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August 1, 1996
On 19 September 1994, U.S. troops began a permissive entry into Haiti. This occurred the morning after President Clinton stopped an invasion with airborne forces already in the air. Perhaps most appropriately called an intervasion, somewhere between an invasion and intervention, Operation Uphold Democracy came almost exactly three years after the Haitian armed forces overthrew the government of Jean Bertrand Aristide, the first democratically-elected president in Haiti's turbulent history. The 1991 coup and the use of military forces to restore President Aristide fit into a long-term pattern of Haitian political instability and violence. The United States led the international intervention (intervasion) to restore the democratically elected President to power. This paper reviews Haitian-American relations and events in Haiti leading to the operation, discusses the operation through its three phases, evaluated the intervention, and describes some potential lessons to be learned from it. Table 2 provides a list of US Operations in the Caribbean, 1991-1995.
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May 1, 1995
Psychologists have always been interested in the extent to which general intelligence and specific aptitudes or information contribute to job performance. Results show that for predicting mechanical performance, operational measures of general intelligence should include technical testes, and that hands-on measures result in different outcomes compared to traditional surrogate measures of job performance.
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June 1, 1993
This paper reports on a Monte Carlo study of the accuracy of each estimation method under correct and incorrect error specifications. The multi-predictor model that serves as the basis of the study is representative of models with which cost analysts frequently deal. Results suggest that ordinary least squares, applied to the logs of the variables, may be the preferred method under either specification. This finding, however, is applicable strictly to the issue of parameter estimation. Accuracy of cost prediction requires further analysis.
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December 1, 1992
A series of computer based student research projects and programs for use in the Physics classroom and laboratory is described. The commercial programs are SPF/PC, Microsoft Word, T3, Symphony, Mathematica, and FORTRAN. The author's programs assist data analysis in particular laboratory experiments and make use of the Monte Carlo and other numerical techniques in computer simulation and instruction. The one-dimensional ISING model is presented as a good example of the application of both analytical and simulation techniques in Physics. The consistent use of this project-based teaching approach in a college Physics program enhances the students' education and interest.
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November 1, 1992
This paper presents and applies a methodology for estimating the cost of recruiting individuals with alternative distributions of Armed Forces Qualification Test (AFQT) scores. The methodology takes account of the key institutional features of the recruiting process, including recruiter time allocation and procedural guidelines. The method is used to estimate the costs of different recruit-aptitude distributions, using data on applicants and accessions for all of the services.
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November 1, 1991
This paper analyzes 'the way ahead' for the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps in view of recent events, in particular the dissolution of the Soviet threat, U.S. economic woes, and a vivid Southwest Asia experience. These events have led to three guiding themes for the Navy's future. First, naval forces should have a structure that continues to enable action in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. Phrased another way, the nation needs a 'three-ocean Navy.' Second, the Navy should not only adapt to a joint approach to military presence, crisis response, and regional contingencies but also play a key leadership role. The nation needs a 'joint Navy' and the Navy should take heed. Third, the naval acquisition process needs to adjust to better harmonize military industry with new national priorities. The nation needs 'opportunistic acquisition,' and this is a message to the military-industrial complex.
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March 1, 1991
This paper discusses the Greek civil war during the 1940s. It also gives a background of the Communist insurgency and outlines American intervention.
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March 1, 1991
As the Cold War draws to an end, U.S. military presence in Asia is being called into question. Opponents of continued presence consider it a vestige of earlier times since there is presently no compelling threat to deter. Proponents of U.S. military presence argue that potential conflicts still exist, and that the U.S. must be forward-deployed to react to crisis in a timely manner. This paper analyzes U.S. presence in Southeast Asia.
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