Research for Politics

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AN INDICATOR OF INFORMAL EMPIRE: PATTERNS OF U.S. NAVY CRUISING ON OVERSEAS STATIONS, 1869-1897
February 1, 1981
This paper draws on the patterns of U.S. overseas cruising between 1869 and 1897 to validate the concept of 'informal empire', proposed by historians.
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SOVIET POLICY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA: THE DECISION TO INTERVENE
February 1, 1981
The main intent of this paper is to elucidate the factors that appear to have influenced Soviet decisions to support Ethiopia during the period immediately preceding and during the Somali-Ethiopian conflict in the Ogaden, roughly from 1976 to late 1977.
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The Decline of the Overseas Station Fleets: the United States Asiatic Fleet and the Shanghai Crisis, 1932
February 1, 1981

This paper discusses the Shanghai incident of 1932 and how it marked the end of a form of naval activity, the protection and promotion of trade in peacetime, that had predominated in the Far East.

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A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF REGIME CHANGE IN LATIN AMERICA
February 1, 1981
This paper presents a mathematical model of regime change in Latin America. The model is a finite Markov chain with stationary transition probabilities.
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The Interacting Evolution of Soviet and American Military Doctrines
September 1, 1980
This paper examines U.S. and Soviet political and military doctrines, focusing on the interrelationship between the two doctrines and the future evolution of U.S. and Soviet military strategy.
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Causal Inferences and the Use of Force: A Critique of Force Without War
May 1, 1980
This paper provides a critique of a recent Brookings Institution study, Force Without War, which analyzes the role military force has played in recent U.S. foreign policy. Methodological flaws of the Brookings study are highlighted.
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Expected Demand for the U.S. Navy to Serve as an Instrument of U.S. Foreign Policy: Thinking about Political and Military Environmental Factors
May 1, 1980
This paper provides an assessment of the factors affecting the navy's utility in a political role, particularly as compared to the other instruments available. Primary emphasis is on the Afro-Asian Third World.
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The Structure of Anarchy or Thinking About the Global Effects of Extreme Tension in Southwest Asia
April 1, 1980
This paper summarizes the world economic situation and its impact on world political stability, examines political trends on a region by region basis, and identifies potential areas of US-USSR competition that seem possible over the next two years as a result of continuing superpower tensions in Southwest Asia.
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THE AZORES IN DIPLOMACY AND STRATEGY, 1940-1945
April 1, 1980
This paper examines the small but important role the Azores played in the conduct of WW II. Included is a study of the diplomacy surrounding the Anglo-American acquisition of military bases in the islands.
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THE SOVIET INVOLVEMENT IN THE OGADEN WAR
February 1, 1980
This paper examines Soviet policy formulation in Third World crises.
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