Research for Politics

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April 1, 1986
The Center for Naval Analyses has been examining current issues and future prospects in the Western Alliance since June 1984. The aim is to better inform U.S. Navy policy initiatives and long-range planning for the European theater, by helping to define the planning environments, opportunities, and limitations the Navy may have to face in the decade ahead. While affairs of Alliance are of prominent interest, the examination has not been confined to NATO per se. On the theory that politics among nations begin with politics and related developments within nations, the study has also considered influences on, and frames of reference for, the evolution of national defense policies in individual Alliance member countries. This research memorandum, part of a series of CNA papers on future directions of the Western Alliance, is concerned with these national policies. This particular report looks at six European allies in terms of their own defense aspirations, domestic constraints, and policy choices in the late 1980s and early 1990s. The focus is on those key factors most likely to influence the security priorities and postures of each of the six. The six are France, Britain, Germany, Italy, Greece, and Spain.
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March 1, 1984

This paper provides a close look at Cuban military missions overseas.

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February 1, 1984
This paper tests the assumption that changes in federal spending in a congressional district affect the incumbent's prospect of reelection. That assumption is tested by using cross-section data to analyze voting for candidates for election to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, 1978, and 1980.
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March 1, 1983
This paper asserts that the country as a whole, and the D.C. area in particular, would be better off if the federal government were to sell its airports and leave their operation to individual discretion.
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June 1, 1981
This paper provides a brief description of the problems facing any analysis of Soviet intentions. The context in which the actions under examination took place is sketched out. A review of the course of events in Afghanistan and the role apparently played by the Soviets there is provided. Subsequently, the motivations judged most likely to have precipitated the invasion are outlined. A brief treatment of some of the implications of this conclusion is included and a listing and evaluation of other, less plausible explanations of the Soviet decision to invade are appended.
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February 1, 1981
This paper provides an assessment of how events in Southwest Asia (particularly the Islamic revolution in Iran, the seizing of hostages in Tehran, and Soviet combat forces invading Afghanistan) have jeopardized the major interests of the superpowers and how their policies appear to be changing in response to these threats.
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February 1, 1981
This report discusses the Soviet trend of regarding the 'antiimperialist bonapartism' of third world military elites as 'progressive social development.' It highlights the dissenting views of the Soviet scholar Mirskiy.
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February 1, 1981
This paper presents an analysis of a series of eleven articles by Fleet Admiral of the Soviet Union S.G. Gorshkov. The position is taken that the articles reflect a Soviet political decision to withhold a substantial portion of their submarine launched ballistic missiles from the initial strikes in order to carry out 'deterrence' in war, conduct intra-war bargaining, and influence the peace talks at the end of the war.
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February 1, 1981
This paper provides a detailed discussion on the concept of 'indirect strategy' and how this concept has affected French deterrence theory.
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February 1, 1981
Using a simultaneous equations model of political climate and labor market conditions, this study shows that political liberalism may lead to decreased labor force participation and higher unemployment, particularly for women.
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