Research for Politics

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October 1, 1992
This research memorandum is one element of a comprehensive examination by CNA of the evolving Russian Navy for the Office of Naval Intelligence. It examines the likely paths of Russian foreign policy as the country moves into the 21st century and suggests that Russia's ability to conduct foreign policy in the future will be limited by the extent to which the nation advances in its ongoing economic and political reforms. The more successful the reforms, the greater will be Russia's capacity for an influential and vigorous foreign policy. In contrast to the communist period, the size and prominence of Russia's military will be inversely related to the scope of its foreign policy, i.e., the more activist Russia's foreign policy is, the more subordinate the military component will be in relation to other foreign policy resources. Thus, a militarized foreign policy will signal a failed domestic reform process and a weakened Russian state.
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October 1, 1991
Wars, like other episodic historical events, seldom repeat themselves, but soldiers and statesmen who remain ignorant of previous conflicts run the risk of repeating past errors. On September 25 and 26, 1990, the Center for Naval Analyses held its 1990 Sea Power Forum on 'Recent Conflicts and the Current Crisis.' The goal of the Forum was to provide a foundation for analyzing the use of military force in the 1980s, as well as to draw lessons applicable to the current crisis in the Persian Gulf and potential future conflicts. Panelists addressed the recent past and its relevance to the first major international crisis in the post-Cold War era. This report sythesizes the key findings of the Forum.
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April 1, 1991
In 1991, separatist forces seeking independence have become active across the USSR. In one of the most important regions, the Soviet Far East, such a trend is visible, although it has received scant attention compared to movements in the Baltic states, Moldavia, and other areas. The struggle for change in the Soviet Far East pits the conservative forces, consisting of mid-level Communist Party personnel, senior military, and some members of the defense industrial and intelligence community, against virtually everyone else. The encroachments that this powerful coalition hopes to block include opening Vladivostok, the creation of free economic zones with the participation of foreigners, the conversion of the defense industry, and the emergence of non-communist political figures and ideas (including a plan to create an independent Far Eastern Republic). This research memorandum examines recent trends in the region -- political, military, and economic -- and looks ahead to possible outcomes. AD-A238033
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December 1, 1990
In an effort to address the most compelling issues surrounding the Soviet Navy in the era of Perestroika, ONI and CNA brought together more than 35 specialists on the Soviet Union from both inside and outside the government. Their views are recorded in this report and do not necessarily reflect the positions of CNA or the United States Navy.
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October 1, 1990
The recent, radical movement toward democratization of the political system in the USSR has generated important changes in its legislative organs. This study examines the ongoing restructuring of these bodies, with particular emphasis on the Supreme Soviet and its evolving role in national security decision-making. A totally new state body, the Congress of People's Deputies, is also analyzed as to its structure, tasks, and responsibilities. From its membership was elected the new Supreme Soviet, which is contrasted with the 'old' Supreme Soviet, its history, organization, power, and responsibilities. The shifting sources of legislative power and the changing role of the new and strengthened legislative bodies are discussed.
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April 1, 1987
Examines the U.S. public's attitude toward Europe and NATO, and what this may portend for future U.S. security policy. This paper specifically discusses where American public opinion stands in the mid-1980s in light of shifting American trade patterns and demographics, and whether these shifts have had any discernable influence on the American public's view of the world.
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October 1, 1986
This reader supplements other CNA papers about the future directions in the Western Alliance, by presenting the Soviet perspective on developments in Britain. Particular attention is given to recent Soviet writings on the United Kingdom, especially: its security aspirations, policies and debates, its roles in international affairs and arms control; its military forces; and its domestic politics.
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April 1, 1986
While much attention is paid in the United States to Soviet perspectives on U.S. security policy, less is known about contemporary Soviet thinking about European security issues. This memorandum is a collection of original translations of the more authoritative Soviet journals, newspapers and monographs. The selections provide an overview of how the Soviets have analyzed European security issues, with special emphasis on the French role in European security.
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April 1, 1986
In the 1960s, French defense policy emphasized the protection of French territory rather than the collective security of France and her European allies. This began to change in the late 1970s. The French contribution to European security is now a matter of considerable debate within France. This memorandum examines the issues and the options that are involved.
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