Research for Physicians

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December 1, 2003
This study estimates the impact of increasing the active duty obligation (ADO) for graduate medical education (GME). We found that the amount by which accession requirements could decrease depends on the size of the GME program. Specifically, accession requirements and costs are less if the GME program were optimized than if it were fixed at current levels. If GME is fixed, many accessions are needed, not to fill billets, but simply to support the GME program. We find that marginal increases—1-year increases—in the GME ADO are supportable. We based this finding largely on GME program directors’ perceptions and the willingness of current residents and fellows to consider and accept GME with a longer ADO. Because of the concurrent payback of the GME obligation with any prior obligation, there are many ways to structure a marginal increase in the ADO. How DoD should structure an increase depends on which specialties it wants to impact. We find that increasing the GME ADO more than marginally is not warranted because the applicant pool for accessions will not support it.
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October 1, 2003
This study estimates the impact of increasing the active duty obligation (ADO) for the Armed Forces Health Professions Scholarship Program (AFHPSP). We found that the amount by which accession requirements could decrease depends on the size of the graduate medical education (GME) program. Specifically, accession requirements and costs are less if the GME program were optimized than if it were fixed at current levels. If GME is fixed, many AFHPSP accessions are needed, not to fill billets, but simply to support the GME program. We find that increasing the ADO from 4 to 5 years for 4 years of subsidization is supportable. We based this finding on (1) recruiters’ perception that they could still meet the recruiting mission with a 5-year ADO, (2) the willingness of current AFHPSP students to consider and accept AFHPSP with a 5-year ADO, (3) the downward pressure on the medical billet file, and (4) the Services’ success in meeting recruiting goals that vary substantially from year to year. We find that increasing the AFHPSP ADO beyond 5 years is not warranted because it is not supportable from a recruiting standpoint and most AFHPSP students didn’t express a willingness to accept an obligation beyond 5 years.
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April 1, 2003
We computed life-cycle costs for physicians, dentists, and other selected health care professions. Specifically, we computed the cost to access them, train them to be fully qualified duty special-ists, and maintain them in staff utilization tours. We computed the cost per year of practice (YOP) as a fully trained specialist with emphasis on the cost per YOP at the completion of the initial active duty obligation and at the expected YOP. We found that training costs are substan-tial—8 to 49 percent over compensation costs for physicians depending on specialty and acces-sion source. Given these life-cycle costs, we’ve developed a model to determine the optimal mix of acces-sions to fill future billet requirements. The optimum depends crucially on the model’s con-straints, which include the required experience profile, in-house training requirements, and ac-cession constraints. The results indicate that the required experience profile affects the optimum for physicians more than any other constraint, whereas in-house training requirements are the biggest driver in the dentist model. Looking at the impact of pay on the optimum, we found that accession bonuses are modestly cost-effective for some specialties and that targeted special pay increases are more cost-effective than across-the-board increases.
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March 1, 2002

Health care personnel are expensive to educate and train. Retaining them is critical for any health care system. This study considers the impact of special pays and bonuses in helping recruit and retain qualified doctors, dentists, and other health care providers.

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January 1, 2002
CNA performed the Navy Specilaty Physician Study at the request of the Navy Surgeon General. The objective of the study was to further explore retention of Navy physicians, by identifying and tracking critical indicators of Navy physician retention, to provide BUMED information for improving personnel policy business practices. Years of practice in specialty, percent board certified, number of residents and fellows, and demographics are some of the critical indicators we tracked by specialty. In recognition of the typical career path of Navy physicians, our retention analysis considered matriculation and attrition rates. We found that the matriculation rate of newly trained specialists has improved since FY 1987. We believe this is a result of the April 1988 active duty GME obligation policy change. To provide policy-makers some context and comparison for our findings, we explored some of the physician recruitment and retention strategies being used in the civilian sector. This information will help policy-makers better understand the Navy's competitive position when it competes for physicians.
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August 1, 2001
The purpose of this research memorandum is to report and comment on the findings of an analysis of Navy Medicine Primary Care (NMPC) to members of the Primary Care Product Line (PCPL) Advisory Board (the Board) and to the Bureau of Medicine and Surgery (BUMED). This report is part of the support that CNA is providing to the product line. It analyzes Ambulatory Data System (ADS) records of visits made to Navy Medical Treatment Facilities (MTFs) during FY 2000, as well as data from two Department of Defense (DOD) surveys that provide information on the satisfaction of users of NMPC. Its intent is to provide empirical information as background to the Board's and BUMED's optimization activities. In this report, we describe what NMPC is, based on what primary care providers (PCPs) do in Navy MTF primary care (PC) settings, and identify how and to what extent the content and nature of NMPC varies by provider and setting. This approaches NMPC from the supply side - what care is provided by whom, and where. Its focus is not on how much care is provided (e.g., number of visits) but rather on the nature and distribution of that care (e.g., percentage of visits by clinical content and provider type).
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February 1, 2001
The Military Health System (MHS) is charged with maintaining a healthy active duty force, attending to the sick and wounded in time of conflict, and sucessfully competing for and treating patients within peacetime benefit mission. The military must attract and retain high-quality health care professionals. These issues are particularly important for military health care professionals because they are costly to access and train, and they have skills that are readily interchangeable to the private sector. The TRICARE Management Agency (TMA) asked the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA) to study appropriate compensation, special pays, and bonuses for military health care professionals. CNA conducted a comparative analysis of current compensation (cash and benefits) between Army and Air Force physicians and private-sector physicians. Our analysis shows that the current military-civilian physician pay gap varies widely depending on specialty and years in service.
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November 1, 2000
As the military health system (MHS) evolves to meet the managed care environment of the peacetime benefit mission, Navy Medicine in particular, and DOD in general, must continue to concern themselves with three principles: (1) Navy Medicine will attract and access quality individuals; (2) the medical department will retain the best of the people accessed; and (3) the best people will want to remain in the military because of the challenge, training, professional ism, and overall environment of Navy Medicine. DOD implemented TRICARE to maximize the quality of healthcare while minimizing the cost of that care. To meet this goal, military medicine must continue to attract and retain quality personnel under this changing work environment. Given these challenges and concerns, the Navy Surgeon General asked CNA to evaluate physicians' job satisfaction within the existing climate to determine whether major problems exist that adversely affect relation of specialists. We have examined Navy physician retention and compensation patterns over the past decade, and find that there has been a decline in retention for the majority of specialists, but the cause and extent of the decline are difficult to quantify. We have attempted to identify the main drivers behind this decline, including compensation, work environment, and promotion opportunity. Contrary to anecdotal evidence, there has been no decline in promotion opportunity] however, we do find that the military- pay gap has been widened by 4 to 24 percent for most specialties during the 1990s.
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August 1, 2000
The Navy Surgeon General has asked CNA to evaluate physicians' job satisfaction and retention within the existing climate to determine if major issues exist. The scope of the study was expanded to include a comparative analysis of compensation for Navy physicians continuing a military career versus leaving for a private-sector track. We find that a substantial current compensation gap exists between military and private-sector physicians, particularly at the end of the 7-year career point, and the disparity in total compensation varies widely by medical specialty. Our finds show, however, that as Navy physicians accrue more military service, it becomes more lucrative for them to complete 20 years, retire, and then pursue a private career. This information memorandum documents the results of these compensation comparisons.
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March 1, 1996
In October of 1992, the Tidewater area of Virginia was designated as a demonstration site for Tricare. The demonstration project makes fundamental changes in the financing and delivery of health care to military beneficiaries currently served by Naval Hospital, Portsmouth; McDonald Army Hospital, Ft. Eustis; and 1st Medical Group (TAC), Langley Air Force Base. Tricare Tidewater is a triservice managed-care initiative, designed to enhance military beneficiaries' access to care, improve mechanisms for quality assurance, control rising costs, and increase coordination between military and civilian components of the Military Health Services Systems (MHSS). Although increasing physician satisfaction was not a direct goal of the program, many of the changes implemented may affect the way that military physicians practice medicine in the Tidewater region and their attitudes regarding their role in the MHSS. Certainly, any positive effects would be welcomed, but a decline in physician satisfaction could lead to lower retention rates for military physicians, as well as lower levels of physician performance, patient satisfaction, and quality of care. In this research memorandum, we measure the impact of the first two years of the Tricare program on physician satisfaction.
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