Research for Personnel Retention

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A Study of Marine Corps Family Programs
September 1, 1987
The Family Service Centers (FSCs) present a diverse set of services to Marines and their families. This report presents the results of a study of Marine Corps family programs provided by the FSCs. These services include personal, family, and financial counseling, employment assistance, help for victims of domestic violence, and other services. Data from the 1985 DOD Member and Spouse surveys, USMC exit questionnaires, administrative records, and special purpose surveys of FSC directors and Marine unit commanders are used to assess the success of FSCs in meeting the objectives of serving commanders and Marines and their families and to estimate the impact of family programs on Marine retention.
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Retention Costs of the GI Bill and the Draft: New Evidence from the Navy's Enlisted Force
May 1, 1987
Drawing upon new data from the Navy's enlisted force, this study estimates the effect on military reenlistment rates of several major policy variables: eligibility for the Vietnam-era G.I. Bill, draft-pressure at the original enlistment point, and the amount of formal training given to enlistees in their first term. These specific effects are all shown to be substantially adverse, even after statistic controls have been established for other key determinants of military retention.
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Calculating the Year-to-Year Size and Experience Level of a Changing Group
February 1, 1987
CNA's Total Force Utilization Study examines alternative ways to man the 600-Ship Navy. Some of the important issues involve questions about accessions, retention, and the evolution of groups-such as ratings-in terms of the numbers and experience levels of their members. Consequently, the study developed a model that relates these factors quantitatively. This research memorandum describes the model and illustrates its potential uses with a few examples. The focus is on documentation of methodology, not on specific applications.
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Final Report of the Enlisted Manpower, Personnel and Training Study
September 1, 1986
Summarizes the work and finding of the Enlisted Manpower, Personnel and Training study conducted by a team of analysts at the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA). The study examined ways the Navy can most cost effectively attract and retain the enlisted personnel it needs when it is growing and when faced by stronger competition from the civilian sector and other services. Detailed descriptions of the analysis have been published in a series of CNA publications; this report summarizes those works and highlights the main findings relevant to the Navy's manpower needs.
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Survival Rates of Prior-Service Recruits, 1978-1984
August 1, 1986
The survival rates of prior-service Navy personnel from FY 1978 through FY 1984 are examined. Survival rates for this group of recruits (i.e., at what rate and for how long they remain in the Navy) depend primarily on paygrade at enlistment. The analysis shows a sharp distinction between E1-to-E3 enlistees and E4-to-E7 enlistees, with the latter group having the higher rates. It also examines other factors influencing survival rates including age, education level, enlistment program, and previous military experience.
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Specialized Skill Training and Personnel Retention as Factors Impacting Training Costs: Summary Report
August 1, 1986
This is a summary report of a CNO-directed study of factors that affect the costs of training Navy personnel. It focuses on the relationship between retention and specialized skill training for enlisted personnel on the expectation that increased retention could be expected to reduce training requirements and costs. Other detailed findings of the study are contained in several earlier CNA documents; this memorandum summarizes those findings, highlighting the more important patterns and trends.
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Supply Problems in the Naval Reserve
February 1, 1986
The Navy Selected Reserve (SELRES) is slated to grow by 30 percent over the next five years. This paper addresses the question, are those numbers attainable and at what price? Information discussing SELRES enlistment, continuation and cost-effective growth strategies is included. The tentative answer is yes, over the next five years if real military pay does not decline. A model is being put together including pay elasticities, unemployment rate elasticities, and demographic differences for each rating for enlistment and retention of prior service veterans.
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New Estimates of the Effect of Unemployment on Enlisted Retention
July 1, 1985
New estimates of the effect of unemployment on enlisted retention are provided in this paper. Unemployment is found to have a positive effect upon the reenlistment rate for seven of the nine rating groups studied, and a positive effect upon both the extension rate and the total retention rate for all nine rating groups. However, the pay elasticities are three to five times as large as the unemployment elasticities, so that decreases in the unemployment rate may be offset by much smaller percentage increases in military pay.
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Pay and Retention of Marine Corps Aviators
February 1, 1985
The effect of pay on the retention of Marine Corps aviators is studied. The estimated pay effects are then used to evaluate the potential impact of three recent proposals to adjust the structure of Aviation Career Incentive Pay (ACIP).
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Manning the 600-Ship Navy: Analysis of Force Structure and Compensation Options for Navy Program Planning
December 1, 1984
An economic analyses conducted by CNA to evaluate policy options for meeting the Navy's growing manpower needs is described. The work was done in support of the Navy's Planning, Programming, and Budgeting process.
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