Research for Personnel Retention

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Retention of Navy Physicians, FY 1984 to FY 1988
June 1, 1989
One possible contributor to Navy Medicine's current manpower problem is the low retention rates of physicians. This research memorandum examines the retention of Navy physicians between FY 1984 and FY 1988 in the aggregate, by career phase, and by specialty.
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Mathematical Relationships Between Pay Grade Structure, Longevity, and Promotion Policy
December 1, 1988
During the derivation of manpower requirements and personnel management policies, it is quite possible to specify a pay grade profile, longevity distribution, and promotion policy that are inconsistent and cannot be simultaneously satisfied. This research memorandum describes precise conditions under which particular specifications of pay grade structure, longevity, and promotion policy lead to an executable force structure. In particular, it is shown that a too stringent 'up or out' policy leads to an unexecutable force structure.
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Utilization of Personnel Resources Within the Navy Selected Reserve
November 1, 1988
The Navy Selected Reserve (SELRES) has experienced enormous growth during the 1980s. The need to meet manpower goals with limited personnel resources places a premium on the effective utilization of the personnel resources within the Selected Reserve. Tools for managing personnel resources include the allocation of recruiters and the efficient use of affiliation and retention bonuses. This memorandum summarizes a series of studies analyzing recruiting and retention in the Naval Reserve, with the objective of helping the Navy meet its manpower requirements at minimal cost.
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An Analysis of the Active Duty Service Obligation (ADSO) for Navy Pilots
October 1, 1988
Because of persistent shortages of personnel to fill instructor billets in the aviator community, the Active Duty Service Obligation (ADSO) for naval aviation officers was increased on 1 July 1987. Newly commissioned officers in the aviation community are now required to make a six-year commitment to the Navy after receiving their wings. This change has prompted policymakers to ask about the optimal minimum service requirement. This research memorandum analyzes the ADSO for Navy pilots. The analysis included the development of a model that captures the effect of changes in the ADSO on the total compensation and training costs of pilots through the first 15 years of service.
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Performance of Non-Prior-Service Navy Recruits: 1978 - 1986
August 1, 1988
This research memorandum describes measures of recruit success in the Navy using five performance indicators: desertion, demotion, first-term attrition, promotion, and retention. The CNA data base used here includes all non-prior-service accessions between FY 1978 and December 1986.
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Retention of Navy Veterans in the Selected Reserve
May 1, 1988
This analysis develops and estimates a model of retention during the first year of affiliation in the Selected Reserve. Estimates of the effects of pay and personal characteristics are provided for 11 Navy rating groups. The results should be useful for forecasting Selected Reserve manpower levels and for evaluating the effects of affiliation and retention bonuses.
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Is There Such A Thing As Overall Satisfaction With Military Life? A Factor Analysis of Marine Corps Data
February 1, 1988
This research contribution attempts to determine the number of dimensions in which satisfaction with military life should be measured. The analysis used a correlation matrix of satisfaction measures for Marine respondents to the 1985 DOD Member Survey and performed a standard factor analysis on that matrix. Three distinct dimensions of Marine satisfaction, having to do with personal fulfillment in the military, military family stability, and military fringe benefits, were identified.
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Retention in the Naval Reserve Force
February 1, 1988
This research memorandum investigates continuation rates in the Naval Reserve Force by tracking individuals' records from quarter to quarter. The nature and timing of attrition are analyzed. Tests are performed for differences in continuation rates by geographical area, paygrade, length of service, rating, program of entry into the Reserve, and type of ship.
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Retention Behavior of Enlisted TARS in Surface-Expansion Ratings
December 1, 1987
The results of the Surface-Expansion TAR Retention Study is documented in this research memorandum. It investigates retention behavior of TAR and regular active-duty personnel in surface-expansion ratings in an effort to discern any significant differences between them. It also examines the background characteristics of enlisted TARs in surface-expansion ratings, summarizes their retention decisions, and models first-term TAR and regular active-duty enlisted retention behavior.
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Modeling Spikes in Hazard Rates
October 1, 1987
The probability of survival can be estimated using a parametric survival model in which a single regression equation is used to summarize the data. For some data, the hazard rate at particular intervals of time differs markedly from the rest of the hazard function. This sharp rise in the hazard rate violates the requirements of the common parametric survival models, and indicates that some alternative modeling approach should be considered. This research contribution outlines a methodology for estimating parametric survival models given non-smooth survival data. As an example of this methodology the procedure is used to estimate the survival pattern of Marine Corps Selected Reservists.
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