Research for Personnel Retention

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Personnel Tempo of Operations and Navy Enlisted Retention
February 1, 1992
This research memorandum documents analyses of the relationship between Personnel Tempo of Operations (PERSTEMPO) and enlisted retention. CNA's ship employment history files were used to reconstruct the PERSTEMPO experience of each surface ship since the mid-1970s. This PERSTEMPO information was added to the personnel records of sailors making retention decisions while aboard surface ships in the FY 1979 through FY 1988 period. Finally, information on pay, civilian employment opportunities, and bonuses was added to each sailor's record. A statistical regression technique was used to explore the relations between PERSTEMPO and retention. A by-product of the study is updated estimates of the relationship and relative military pay, unemployment rates, and selective reenlistment bonuses.
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Navy Physicians' Pay Distribution Compared to Civilian Income
August 1, 1991
In recent years, there has been concern over the size of the gap between pay for civilian physicians and pay for military physicians, and over the declining retention observed for Navy physicians. Efforts have been made to increase physicians' military pay and retention. This research memorandum derives actual pay distributions for 22 physician specialties and documents the size of the civilian-military pay gap for three experience levels within each specialty. The pay gaps are linked to acceptance patterns of the 1989 medical officer retention bonus. The large variation in pay gap size by specialty and experience level should enable future pay plans to address specific problems.
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Comparison of Civilian and Navy Pay for Dentists
April 1, 1991
Dental special pays, which typically make up 15 to 20 percent of a Navy dentist's total military pay, have not been substantially increased since FY 1980. As a result, the increases in the total pay of Navy dentists have lagged behind the cost of living. At the same time, the net income of civilian dentists has increased at a faster rate than the cost of living. These two factors have led to a widening of the civilian-military pay gap. This research memorandum examines these issues.
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Enlisted Women in the Marine Corps: First-Term Attrition and Long-Term Retention
August 1, 1990
This research memorandum provides an overview of gender differences in the continuation rates for enlisted Marines. It also contains a detailed analysis of first-term attrition for female recruits with four-year obligations accessed in FY 1981 through FY 1985. In this analysis, female first-term attrition probabilities are modeled as a function of background characteristics at entry into the Marine Corps.
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Identifying Successful Marine Corps Recruits
April 1, 1990
This research memorandum briefly reviews trends in Marine Corps first-term attrition and then analyzes recruit background characteristics and Marine Corps environment variables associated with successful adaptation to Marine Corps life. Three measures of success are examined: completion of the first term of service, completion of the first term of service at the rank of corporal, and retention beyond the initial service obligation.
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Initial Effectiveness of the FY 1989 Medical Officer Retention Bonus
January 1, 1990
In response to the declining retention of military physicians, Congress enacted a Medical Officer Retention Bonus (MORB) for FY 1989. This research memorandum examines the effect the MORB is having on the retention of Navy physicians.
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Managing a Decline in Enlisted Endstrength
January 1, 1990
This research memorandum investigates whether enlisted endstrength cuts can be implemented to meet the following objectives: The personnel structure of the Navy after the strength cuts should be stable, advancement opportunity should change as little as possible, and endstrength cuts should be taken without having to extend involuntary separations beyond current policy. The analysis shows that these goals can be met by phasing cuts over a number of years if the percentage of petty officers in the inventory is simultaneously increased by a small amount.
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Personnel Projections for the Electronic Warfare Technician Rating
August 1, 1989
This research memorandum provides personnel projections for the Electronic Warfare Technician rating. The projections are obtained from a simulation model and show how the future of the rating will vary with the mix of four- and six-year obligors. The analysis focuses on projected sea and shore manning, accessions, promotion opportunity, longevity, and individuals account.
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Navy Nurse Corps Retention, FY 1974-1988
July 1, 1989
This research memorandum documents the continuation and retention behavior of Navy nurses from 1974 through 1988. Aggregate continuation rates are presented along with cross-tabulations by years of service, paygrade, obligation status, entry cohort, accession program, and specialty. Policies to close the gap between nurse corps inventory and requirements are considered.
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A Retention Model for Navy Physicians
June 1, 1989
In recent years, the Navy has indicated concern for the retention patterns observed for physicians. Some specialties show relatively low retention compared to others, and the aggregate retention rate for specialists has declined. This research memorandum discusses the derivation of a model to estimate the influence of various factors on unobligated physicians' decisions to stay in or leave the Navy. The main analytical issue is the quantification of the role of the positive and growing civilian-military pay differential on the retention of Navy physicians.
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