Research for Personnel

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November 1, 1998
Since the inception of the All-Volunteer Force in 1973, the military personnel system has shown a remarkable ability to deal with a diverse range of challenges. The purpose of this paper is to examine the challenges ahead and propose how the military personnel system will have to adapt to continue to prosper. We start our discussion with a review of four potential problem areas in the future: demographic, economic, and social change; new military concepts and missions; the revolution in business affairs; and technology. Within these broad areas, we focus on specific issues and the challenges they could present for the current military personnel system. The paper also identifies four areas that need major reforms to meet these challenges: recruiting, career management, compensation, and training.
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August 1, 1998
This annotated briefing summarizes the results of an investigation of perstempo levels, trends and implications conducted for the Personnel Readiness Division of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. This paper looks at indicators, short of personnel losses, of the impact of perstempo on enlisted personnel readiness, with the aim being to shed light on the level of perstempo that can be tolerated before the negative effects of excessive perstempo show up in declining retention rates. We found some evidence of increased dissatisfaction with military pay and military life, as well as some increases in use of family service programs that help with stress, as perstempo increases. Marines, who had the largest role in Desert Shield/Desert Storm, showed the strongest indication of stress from deployment to that environment. The report also provides charts of perstempo trends for selected occupational specialties in each of the services.
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June 1, 1998
The purpose of this study is to help the Navy identify the costs imposed on the Navy manpower system when military billets are outsourced. In particular, this paper examines how competition will affect the Navy's ability to achieve its objectives with respect to sea-shore rotation and homebasing. It provides, by community, estimates of how different outsourcing options would affect these military manpower decisions. The paper concludes that personnel policy constraints, especially the goal of providing an adequate base of shore billets for rotation, place significant limits on the number of military billets entered into A-76 competitions. Given the magnitude of manpower constraints, the Navy has two policy options: reduce the number of military billets to be competed or loosen the number of constraints. Loosening the constraints would involve: more carefully defining sea/shore ratios, allowing some A-76 competitions with high expected savings to be completed even if exceptions must be made to personnel policy goals, examining overseas shore billets that count as sea duty as good outsourcing candidates, and reexamining some of the IBR exclusions, especially for shore-intensive ratings. DTIC AD-B239314
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June 1, 1998
A primary tasking for this study was to build a permanent database integrating Navy recruiting, training, and manpower/personnel data which would follow recruits from street to fleet and use variables designed to capture the kinds of information needed by decision-makers. This paper summarizes our analyses and briefly describes the database. It begins with the different analyses we did of the bootcamp period, goes on to a discussion of rating attainment, and finishes with our analyses of trained sailors in the fleet. Findings and recommendations include coding separation reasons more consistently, revising the CNET monthly bootcamp attrition report, more careful screening of sailors with nonacademic course failures who are sent to the fleet, and supporting initiatives to provide a second chance at school for sailors who fail an A-school course.
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March 1, 1997
In the wake of a changing defense climate, the Navy is continuing to find ways to adjust to its smaller size while maintaining its ability to respond when required. An important part of strategy is to monitor readiness during the downsizing process. The first step toward managing readiness is to understand what readiness is and why it changes over time or among units. This paper contributes to the further understanding of readiness by identifying the relationship between standard readiness measures and their determinants for Navy fighter, attack, and fighter/attack aircraft. The analysis is an extension of our earlier work on explaining the readiness of surface combatants. Our objective was to build a comprehensive database of navy fighter and attack units over time and identify readiness trends and relationships between readiness determinants and readiness measures where they exist.
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August 1, 1989
This research memorandum provides personnel projections for the Electronic Warfare Technician rating. The projections are obtained from a simulation model and show how the future of the rating will vary with the mix of four- and six-year obligors. The analysis focuses on projected sea and shore manning, accessions, promotion opportunity, longevity, and individuals account.
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August 1, 1987
A key factor in the Navy's ability to meet its peacetime and wartime contingencies is the supply of trained manpower available to perform assigned missions. This research memorandum describes the process used by the Navy to set, implement, and execute manpower requirements. In addition, it presents conclusions and makes recommendations for improving those processes.
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February 1, 1987
This research memorandum is the final report on a study of the factors that affect the costs of training Navy personnel. It identifies the relationship between students undergoing specialized skill training and the dominant operating costs of conducting that training.
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August 1, 1986
This is a summary report of a CNO-directed study of factors that affect the costs of training Navy personnel. It focuses on the relationship between retention and specialized skill training for enlisted personnel on the expectation that increased retention could be expected to reduce training requirements and costs. Other detailed findings of the study are contained in several earlier CNA documents; this memorandum summarizes those findings, highlighting the more important patterns and trends.
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December 1, 1984
This paper examines the effectiveness of training for U.S. Naval personnel, using data from the Enlisted Utilization Survey and from Navy administrative records. Using these sources the productivity of typical first-term Naval enlistees in 12 major occupational specialties, at four points in time was assessed. Also cost estimates for the two training modes was constructed.
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