Research for People's Republic of China

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Dragon at Sea: China's Navy in Strategy and Diplomacy
December 1, 1985
The prospects for Sino-U.S. naval relations from a strategic perspective are examined. The status of China's navy as a fighting force and efforts to modernize that force are reviewed. The paper also looks at China's navy in regional security issues affecting Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and the Indian Ocean. Finally, in discussing Sino-U.S. naval relations specifically, the paper concludes that some cooperation between the U.S. and Chinese navies seems to be in the interest of 'peace and stability' in the Pacific. Whether the U.S. and China can surmount their differences to achieve some limited military (including naval) relationship remains an open question.
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The New Strategic Outlook in the Pacific
October 1, 1985
The strategic outlook in the Pacific is discussed in this research memorandum. In doing so, it looks at the Asia-Pacific region in historical perspective, examines the area's role in deterrence and a global conflict, and touches on current problems in the region.
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The War Will Not Subside: The Pacific Theater in a NATO-Warsaw Pact War
July 1, 1985
The role of the Pacific theater in a NATO-Warsaw Pact War is considered. The paper argues that the Pacific theater has been neglected in such a conflict because most war scenarios envision a struggle lasting no more than 30 to 60 days. As a result, the conflict is over too quickly in most scenarios for the interrelationships between the NATO and Pacific theaters to develop conceptually. However, in a long-war scenario, the Pacific theater's importance in the course and outcome of such a conflict becomes apparent. The military, industrial, and technological potential of the Pacific nations, especially China and Japan, combined with the U.S., constitute a reserve of strength capable of containing or reversing any Soviet success in a conventional conflict in Europe. This paper concludes that (a) current strategy or doctrine based on the refusal to repudiate the 'first use' of nuclear weapons has lost much of its credibility as a deterrent, and (b) the tacit or explicit adoption of a long-war strategy to counter Soviet capabilities in a short war should be considered.
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The Sea is Red: The Sino-Soviet Rivalry and Its Naval Dimension
May 1, 1984
This paper reviews current dynamics of the Sino-Soviet conflict from the maritime perspective.
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