Research for Operations Research

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The Practice of Military Experimentation
February 1, 2003
Abstract:D7581 This paper is intended for the Major or Lt Commander newly given a military experimentation assignment. It describes the nature of military experiments, what they do, why they are needed, and how they are conducted. Hypotheses, accuracy, realism, fidelity, truth and cheating are discussed, along with characteristics of successful experimentation and obstacles to effective experimentation. The paper also addresses data collection, reconstruction, analysis, and report writing, and supplies a general military-experimentation template.
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Wargames, Exercises, and Analysis
February 1, 1986
The major roles of wargames, exercises, and analysis are outlined in this memorandum. Their interrelationships are examined and some of the ways they can complement each other in the study of the Navy's warfighting capabilities are also defined.
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The Center for Naval Analyses - Past, Present, and Future
August 1, 1985
Presents an overview of the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA); its staff, organization, field program, relationship with the U.S. Navy and USMC, and its history since WWII. Also discusses topics for future research projects.
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The Outlook For Military Operations Research
April 1, 1984
This paper describes the origins of military operations research with its genesis in World War II as operations analysis. The paper then surveys subsequent developments in warfare and military operations research to see what lessons they may hold for the future.
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Can Authoritative Studies Be Trusted?
July 1, 1982
This paper provides an example of why authoritative studies can not always be trusted. Strat-X, published in 1967, was used as an illustration of the author's theory.
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Applied Mathematicians and Naval Operators
March 1, 1982
This paper provides a personal view of applied mathematics in a nonacademic setting based on experiences as a field representative. It describes the principles necessary for effective analysis in this type of setting, and the traits a mathematician needs to effect changes as the results of his analysis.
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WHAT GOOD ARE WARFARE MODELS?
June 1, 1981
This paper discusses the limitations to and capabilities of warfare models as quantitative analysis tools.
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SIMULATION EXPERIMENTATION AND CONTEXT
February 1, 1981
This paper discusses the trend among simulation designers toward the construction of models of the 'middle range' that are designed in an attempt to resolve the tension between the 'contextual particularity' of events and the apparent order and organization of events in the form of general laws and theory. This paper underscores this preference both in comparison to more abstract experiments designed to uncover general laws and 'real world' experiments designed to describe the uniqueness of particular events.
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A PROBABILISTIC FORMULATION OF MURPHY DYNAMICS AS APPLIED TO THE ANALYSIS OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH PROBLEMS
January 1, 1979
The author contends that the formulation of Murphy's Law as presently accepted in the open literature is useful only as a general statement of life patterns, but meaningless to the application of operational research problems. A mathematical formulation is presented based on a probabilistic model of operational realizations. Numerous examples of direct application are cited.
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SOME MATHEMATICAL METHODS FOR INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS
April 1, 1978

This paper discusses useful techniques for intelligence analysis.

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