Research for OES

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April 1, 1975
Examines the experience of the US Navy in countering attacks by Japanese suicide aircraft (Kamikaze) in World War II, and provides an analytical history of the Kamikaze program and develops estimates of the effectiveness of the Kamikaze and of efforts to counter it. Statistics on results in the Philippine and Okinawan Campaigns are used to establish estimates of the effectiveness of defense at various states--attack at the source, defense by interceptors, defense by anti-aircraft guns, and the like. These estimates are used to provide a model of overall effectiveness.
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June 1, 1974
This study concerns the probability that a single fighter aircraft will make visual contact on a single target aircraft under daylight conditions of illumination. Quantitative results are presented which permit the computation of the probability of sighting by any given range as a function of each of a number of parameters. Some typical examples are worked out in detail showing the effects of such parameters as relative speed, angle of view, uncertainty in azimuth and in elevation. See also 10 000430.
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June 1, 1974
Comparisons of the accuracy and effectiveness of AA fire as controlled by various directors can be made only if suitable measures of effectiveness can be defined. This study suggests some measures of effectiveness which may be calculated from the results of firing tests with 5-inch non-fragmenting VT-fuzed ammunition against drones making various types of approach runs, and which are suitable in comparing directors. This study also shows what data must be recorded in order to compute these quantities and develops formulas and methods of computation. See also 10 000260, 10 000261, and 10 000262.
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June 1, 1974
The kind of information that can be obtained from analysis of Aircraft Vulnerability Report Forms is described, and the results of a preliminary study, made to determine the value of a larger-scale analysis, are reported. The study concludes that: (1) although hits from ground fire are uniformly distributed over both jet and conventional aircraft, the jets received a greater proportion from ahead and directly below; (2) in terms of aircraft lost per hit, the F-4U is twice as vulnerable as the F-9F, which is in turn twice as vulnerable as the AD; and, (3) the variation in vulnerability among aircraft can be markedly affected by design.
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June 1, 1974
This study furnishes a method for finding the optimum effectiveness which could be obtained if the ideal search plan were used to search any given area. When the optimum effectiveness which could be obtained is known, one knows when a trial plan is constructed how it compares in probability of contact with the ideal plan for that area.
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June 1, 1974
This study presents an analysis of the effectiveness of binoculars as an aid to visual search for submarines. The analysis is based on a comparison of sweep widths with the naked eye and sweep width using 7 times 50 binoculars. If meteorological visibility is less than 20 miles, the use of binoculars offers no theoretical advantage over naked eye search. Although binoculars do not increase the visual search effectiveness, they should be available and used for the identification of targets initially detected by the naked eye.
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June 1, 1974
This study examines the proposal that in a sustained campaign, high performance seaplanes operating from either advanced mobile bases or North American bases might prove to be the best solution and the cheapest, in terms of economic effort, to maintain.
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June 1, 1974
Discusses some of the details involved in the application of the theory developed in an earlier study and provides an illustrative example. See also 10 000248.
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June 1, 1974
Problems involving computation of the probability of damage, or the expected fraction of the target damaged, occur frequently in military operations research. This study is intended to summarize some of the more important results of the work in this area, and to indicate sources of information on other problems.
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June 1, 1974
Explains the method of calculating the confidence limits on test data used in an earlier study. See also 10 000248.
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