Because security concerns in East Asia have increasingly revolved around problems in the maritime domain, the Center for Naval Analyses has elected to make maritime security in East Asia the focal point for a series of workshops that will explore these issues in depth.
This paper examines four potential post-Kim Chong-il scenarios: continuation of the Kim regime, albeit in a weaker state; collapse of the Kim regime and replacement by another, weak regime; collapse of the Kim regime followed by chaos; and, collapse of the Kim regime followed by conflict.