Research for MOE

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April 1, 1996
Assessing the effectiveness of an ongoing military Humanitarian Assistance Operation (HAO) is difficult. These operations tend to be less familiar to the military; the operation's objectives are often vague; and the initial available information on a humanitarian crisis is often incomplete or inconsistent. But such an assessment is important to provide insight into what strategies are working; where assets need to be shifted; whether more (or fewer) forces are required for specific tasks or the mission as a whole; and when the end of the operation (end state) has been reached. This paper uses lessons from past operations, exercises, and studies to contribute to the military s understanding of how to assess progress in an HAO. We discuss not only measures of effectiveness, but other measures that are useful. This analysis is provided in connection with a Center for Naval Analyses CNA study intended to help the Marine Corps improve its ability to conduct HAOs. The Marine Corps Combat Development Command and I Marine Expeditionary Force sponsored this study.
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September 1, 1991
This research memorandum seeks criteria for evaluating interdiction operations against illegal drugs flowing into the U.S. Six candidate Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs) are subjected to a structured assessment process that tests them for key attributes. All six evaluate real-world operations. Some of the MOEs are shown to have potential for evaluating hypothetical operations explored through war games, exercises, and simulations. The assessment process, itself, offers a ready-made standard for testing additional candidate MOEs.
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December 1, 1987
The relations between Sustaining Engineering (SE) usage, methods of management, and system quality are determined in this research memorandum. Principal components analysis was used to combine multiple measures of effectiveness into a single measure of aircraft quality and multiple program characteristics into a single measure of high-level management. Levels of SE usage were used with these measures to determine the relations, if any.
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December 1, 1984
This paper examines the effectiveness of training for U.S. Naval personnel, using data from the Enlisted Utilization Survey and from Navy administrative records. Using these sources the productivity of typical first-term Naval enlistees in 12 major occupational specialties, at four points in time was assessed. Also cost estimates for the two training modes was constructed.
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January 1, 1979
This paper analyzes the dynamic interactions involved in air combat maneuvering using a continuous analysis technique. An appendix summarizes U.S. and foreign fighter performance comparisons.
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June 1, 1974
Comparisons of the accuracy and effectiveness of AA fire as controlled by various directors can be made only if suitable measures of effectiveness can be defined. This study suggests some measures of effectiveness which may be calculated from the results of firing tests with 5-inch non-fragmenting VT-fuzed ammunition against drones making various types of approach runs, and which are suitable in comparing directors. This study also shows what data must be recorded in order to compute these quantities and develops formulas and methods of computation. See also 10 000260, 10 000261, and 10 000262.
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June 1, 1974
In World War II, the phrase 'operations research' has come to describe the scientific, quantitative study of operations of war. This report is a first attempt to describe some of the methods which have proved most valuable in the study of warfare, and to indicate possible fruitful lines for further development, military and nonmilitary. The first chapter outlines the scope and methods of the subject. The second chapter discusses the relevant portions of the theory of probability, which is the field of mathematics most useful for this work. The rest of the chapters discuss techniques which have been particularly useful, with illustrations picked from work done in the recent war.
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December 1, 1966
This study presents data and OEG analyses relevant to MARKET TIME operations as of the early spring of 1966, and describes the infiltration threat, the forces involved, and their method of operation. Estimates of the Viet Cong infiltration rate and their significance are discussed. Barrier design and effectiveness estimates, when a few inflitrators must be distinguished from many innocent ships, are considered. The probability of detecting and identifying steel infiltrators is determined to be high because their presence near the South Vietnamese coast is conspicuous. Steel hull ships within 3 miles of the coast are generally boarded, inspected from close aboard, or kept under surveillance. Viet Cong junks transship small quantities of arms, supplies, and people between points within South Vietnam and present tactics are capturing many such transshipments. With present MARKET TIME tactics, using 3 offshore patrol rings, infiltration by sea appears to be quite low, although present tactics are not the most efficient ones for the specific purpose of preventing infiltration by junk from outside South Vietnam.
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