Research for Military Capability

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October 1, 2000
Dr. Harold Brown is the sixth person to be presented with the Paul H. Nitze Award. In this paper he offers a broad overview of U.S. national security objectives and required military capabilities beginning with the Cold War and suggest policies to deal with security and political trends during the next 50 years such as the prospect of an adversarial alliance among rising and resurgent powers; outside military intervention in response to internal tyranny, ethnic conflicts, or other human rights issues; challenges to nation-states presented by supranational agencies and supranational currencies; and, economic globalization and technological advances.
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April 1, 1996

In response to a request from the Commander in Chief, Atlantic Fleet (CINCLANTFLT), for options regarding hemisphere naval cooperation, CNA conducted a study of the mid- and long-range importance of Latin America for U.S. Navy and CINCLANTFLT strategic planning. The study considered the full range of navy-to-navy relations and projected developments in light of the changing international security environment, new roles and missions, and the roles that Latin Americans can play within U.S. Navy plans. We developed a framework for evaluating the U.S. Navy's cooperative programs with Latin America in terms of their scope and impact on a continuum of U.S. national security objectives that range from goodwill through broad foreign policy objectives, to national defense goals, and specific military goals. We examined the evolving Latin American national security environment, developed a typology of naval roles and missions, and projected force structure to the year 2000. Finally, we cataloged the U.S. Navy's programs, evaluated their scope and impact, and assessed their contribution to national security goals.

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April 1, 1996
Since 1989, the Navy has decommissioned 165 ships, seen its endstrength fall by nearly a quarter, and had its budget reduced by $38 billion -- a net reduction of 32 percent. These cuts have raised fears that the Navy may once again be on the verge of a hollow force. Our review of the readiness literature suggests that hollowness is a condition that keeps ships from living up to their design potential. It is the general state that persists whenever maintenance problems dominate a force; when poor quality sailors seem the rule rather than the exception; and when meaningful training is both scarce and questionable. In the 1970s and early 1980s, the Navy experienced all of these problems and more. This paper summarizes the stages of our work on this issue and discusses the insights and key findings we have made along the way.
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March 1, 1995
What are the cost and capability tradeoffs between land-based and sea-based tactical aviation? This recurring question reared its head again in 1994, when the Air Force presented certain cost data to the Commission on Roles and Missions (CORM). That data included cost estimates for F-15 and F-16 tactical fighter wings (TFWs), with each wing consisting of 72 aircraft. The Air Force also estimated costs for what it characterized as a 60-aircraft Navy carrier air wing (CVW), and the CVW's associated aircraft carrier (CV). Examination of the results has brought to light the fact that the model used to generate TFW costs and the one that produced the CVW/CV costs are quite dissimilar conceptually--the differences due largely to the treatment of indirect costs. As a potential contribution to the debate, we developed cost estimates that are directly comparable conceptually. This is a summary report. See 27 950019.00 for the complete study.
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March 1, 1992
This report highlights events in a seminar regarding a recent trip to the former Soviet Union, by representatives of the Center for Naval Analysese (R. Murray, H. Gaffney, and L. VanMetre).
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December 1, 1988
The new and enhanced capabilities of the Marine Corps and the development of its amphibious strategy were the subject of the Third Annual Sea Power Forum sponsored by the Center for Naval Analyses. Four panels of speakers evaluated four broad topics: the Navy-Marine Corps team today, the uses of Marine Corps in major and minor conflicts, and the Marine Corps of tomorrow.
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August 1, 1987
Throughout the last decade, the Soviet politico-military leadership has provided startling evidence of a new Soviet doctrine on nuclear and conventional wars. According to Soviet military writers, the changes in doctrine that constitute the new revolution in Soviet military affairs were generated by evolving technological developments in both nuclear and conventional arms. This paper provides evidence from Soviet military literature that changes in strategy, operational art, and tactics have in turn generated changes in force structure and weapons modernization that indicate a downgrading of nuclear contingencies and a preference for conventional warfare.
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November 1, 1985
The evolution of the mission and capabilities of Soviet aviation assigned to maritime roles from the days of the Tsarist Navy to the present is reviewed. The author addresses the mission priorities revealed in the Soviet literature, the hardward developed in response to those priorities, and the trends that can be identified from the literature and these developments.
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November 1, 1984
This paper presents an illustration of a method that can be used to examine tradoffs in force levels (aircraft) and the logistic support required for these aircraft.
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November 1, 1984
This paper assesses the strategic perspective from the Mediterranean in the mid-eighties in light of the changing political and military situation in the Mediterranean considered per se and relative to other regions.
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