Research for Military Aircraft

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March 1, 1997
During our studies of naval readiness issues, we have identified some persistent questions about monitoring readiness. In this paper, we try to answer three of those questions: What should be the goal or baseline for readiness in the Navy? Is current readiness moving toward traditional hollowness, away from hollowness, or in a different direction altogether? How can we compress many indicators of readiness into one or a few indicators? The approaches we used data on readiness and personnel quality for active surface combatants and then replicate the analysis for fighter and attack aircraft squadrons.
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March 1, 1997
In the wake of a changing defense climate, the Navy is continuing to find ways to adjust to its smaller size while maintaining its ability to respond when required. An important part of strategy is to monitor readiness during the downsizing process. The first step toward managing readiness is to understand what readiness is and why it changes over time or among units. This paper contributes to the further understanding of readiness by identifying the relationship between standard readiness measures and their determinants for Navy fighter, attack, and fighter/attack aircraft. The analysis is an extension of our earlier work on explaining the readiness of surface combatants. Our objective was to build a comprehensive database of navy fighter and attack units over time and identify readiness trends and relationships between readiness determinants and readiness measures where they exist.
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April 1, 1993
The Gulf War was an impressive demonstration of air power in action. Coalition air forces seized control of the air in the first hours, then devastated military facilities in Iraq and Iraqi forces in the field -- paving the way for the remarkable 100-hour victory by coalition ground forces. Airpower did not win the war by itself, but it was the foundation for projecting U.S. military power and overcoming numerical disadvantages on the ground. Airpower is likely to play a similar key role in the next major regional conflict. Thus, the U.S. must maintain its superiority in airpower despite rising costs and declining budgets. The issues are complex and controversial, but ignoring issues will not make them go away. This paper discusses policy and concept issues that need debate and examines two broad strategies for dealing with affordability problems.
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April 1, 1989
This research memorandum examines the capability of a deployed aircraft carrier's Aviation Consolidated Allowance List (AVCAL) to meet the goal of supporting wartime operations for 90 days without resupply.
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December 1, 1987
The relations between Sustaining Engineering (SE) usage, methods of management, and system quality are determined in this research memorandum. Principal components analysis was used to combine multiple measures of effectiveness into a single measure of aircraft quality and multiple program characteristics into a single measure of high-level management. Levels of SE usage were used with these measures to determine the relations, if any.
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November 1, 1987
When an aircraft is being repaired or inspected and a certain part is found to have failed, the part is replaced immediately, if a spare part is available. This research memorandum describes a queueing model used to analyze a sparing decision for a part with general probabilistic demand. It also describes an extension of the model to include discriminating treatment of the repair and resupply pipelines. The final section applies the model to an example.
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January 1, 1985
This paper attempts to clarify the relationships among the following four hypotheses: (1) the number of material failures across intervals of calendar time containing equal accumulated flight hours follows a Poisson distribution; (2) the number of elapsed flight hours between successive independent material failures follows an expotential distribution; (3) the expected number of monthly material failures is exactly proportional to monthly flight hours; and (4) the observed number of monthly material failures is strongly correlated with monthly flight hours.
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November 1, 1984
This paper presents an illustration of a method that can be used to examine tradoffs in force levels (aircraft) and the logistic support required for these aircraft.
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December 1, 1978
This study examines the Navy periodic depot maintenance program for aircraft. It includes evidence that Navy aircraft are inducted for periodic depot level maintenance (PDLM) too often and that too many maintenance man-hours are expended when they are given PDLM. The rework man-hours being expended at depot are not directly related to operational factors but rather to the fact that maintenance managers have strong incentives to err on the side of safety by doing more maintenance and doing it more often than is needed. An alternatiave PDLM program based on decision logic and reliability is offered which corrects this situation and allows a continuous appraisal of PDLM interval and work content. Before such a system can be adopted by the Navy, more component reliability data than are now available will be required. While the requisite data are being gathered, basing intervals on flying hours and continuing the Navy's Aircraft Condition Evaluation program offer improvements in determining depot maintenance requirements. Minimization of risk is achieved by reliability sampling techniques.
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April 1, 1975
Examines the experience of the US Navy in countering attacks by Japanese suicide aircraft (Kamikaze) in World War II, and provides an analytical history of the Kamikaze program and develops estimates of the effectiveness of the Kamikaze and of efforts to counter it. Statistics on results in the Philippine and Okinawan Campaigns are used to establish estimates of the effectiveness of defense at various states--attack at the source, defense by interceptors, defense by anti-aircraft guns, and the like. These estimates are used to provide a model of overall effectiveness.
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