Research for Manpower Supply

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Seasonal Patterns in SEA Fleet Gains and Losses
October 1, 1999
Historically, the level of fleet manning has varied over the course of the year. Arrivals to and departures from the sea fleet have not coincided well, resulting in significant understaffing at certain times of the year. The objective of this report is to recommend policy options to bring about better matching of enlisted sea gains and losses to reduce the seasonal variation in sea manning. We first document the pattern of seasonal variation. We then decompose the transitions to and from the sea fleet to determine the sources of the variation. Finally, we offer an initial look at certain policies that aim to reduce the seasonal variation. We find substantial variation in sea manning over the course of the year for both E1-E4 and E5-E9 sailors. The main contributor to the seasonal variation in E1-E4 net gains is strength losses at End of Active Obligated Service dates (EAOSs). We construct several policy options that aim to reduce seasonal variation by shifting these EAOSs dates so that they match sea gains more closely.
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Desert Storm Reconstruction Report, Volume X: Reserve Manpower
October 1, 1991
This volume of the Desert Storm Reconstruction Report describes the Naval Reserves' contribution to Desert Shield/Desert Storm and discusses lessons learned during the operation. An overview of the Department of Defense reserve call-up and the Naval Reserves' overall contribution to various missions are provided.
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Medical and Nurse Corps Recruiting Strategies
November 1, 1990
This research memorandum reviews Navy medical and nurse corps accession strategies and recent initiatives that provide new accession incentives for physicians and nurses. The analysis documented here was done in support of the Navy Surgeon General (OP-093) and Director of Program Planning (OP-08).
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Managing a Decline in Enlisted Endstrength
January 1, 1990
This research memorandum investigates whether enlisted endstrength cuts can be implemented to meet the following objectives: The personnel structure of the Navy after the strength cuts should be stable, advancement opportunity should change as little as possible, and endstrength cuts should be taken without having to extend involuntary separations beyond current policy. The analysis shows that these goals can be met by phasing cuts over a number of years if the percentage of petty officers in the inventory is simultaneously increased by a small amount.
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Navy Medical Service Corps Accessions and Retention for FY 1983 Through FY 1988
October 1, 1989
The Medical Service Corps provides professional administrative and clinical services for the Navy Medical Department. In recent years, Navy medicine has experienced a decrease in accession and retention of the Nurse Corps and Medical Corps. This research memorandum examines the accession and retention of Navy Medical Service Corps officers to determine if a similar pattern has developed in this community.
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Personnel Projections for the Electronic Warfare Technician Rating
August 1, 1989
This research memorandum provides personnel projections for the Electronic Warfare Technician rating. The projections are obtained from a simulation model and show how the future of the rating will vary with the mix of four- and six-year obligors. The analysis focuses on projected sea and shore manning, accessions, promotion opportunity, longevity, and individuals account.
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Navy Nurse Corps Retention, FY 1974-1988
July 1, 1989
This research memorandum documents the continuation and retention behavior of Navy nurses from 1974 through 1988. Aggregate continuation rates are presented along with cross-tabulations by years of service, paygrade, obligation status, entry cohort, accession program, and specialty. Policies to close the gap between nurse corps inventory and requirements are considered.
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Pretrained Individual Manpower Resources and Requirements
July 1, 1989
The Navy's pool of pretrained and obligated individuals (Individual Ready Reserve, Retirees, and Fleet Reserve) is an important component of the total manpower that would be available in wartime. This research memorandum reports the results of the Center for Naval Analyses' study of Pretrained Individual Manpower (PIM) personnel resources and the match between resources and official requirements. End-of-fiscal-year personnel inventories from 1982 to 1987 were tabulated by rating, paygrade, length of time since leaving active duty, and Navy Enlisted Classifications (NECs). Data on the geographical location of PIM personnel were used to assess Personnel Mobilization Team plans. How well the supply of PIM personnel matches currently defined demands was examined at overall and individual paygrade levels.
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Navy Enlisted Classification Requirements and Inventories
November 1, 1988
This research memorandum presents information on Navy Enlisted Classification (NEC) inventories and assignments between 1979 and 1987, and on NEC requirements between 1984 and 1987. It also examines three ratios: the ratio of matched assignments to inventory, the ratio of inventory to requirements, and the ratio of assignments to requirements. The first ratio measures the rate of NEC utilization; the second measures the fraction of requirements that could be filled; and the third measures the fraction of requirements that are being filled. At the aggregate level, the paper discusses values of these variables and ratios in each year and changes in them over time. At the NEC level, it presents distributions of NECs across values of the variables and shifts in the distributions over time.
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Retention in the Naval Reserve Force
February 1, 1988
This research memorandum investigates continuation rates in the Naval Reserve Force by tracking individuals' records from quarter to quarter. The nature and timing of attrition are analyzed. Tests are performed for differences in continuation rates by geographical area, paygrade, length of service, rating, program of entry into the Reserve, and type of ship.
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