Research for Invasions

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June 1, 1981
This paper provides a brief description of the problems facing any analysis of Soviet intentions. The context in which the actions under examination took place is sketched out. A review of the course of events in Afghanistan and the role apparently played by the Soviets there is provided. Subsequently, the motivations judged most likely to have precipitated the invasion are outlined. A brief treatment of some of the implications of this conclusion is included and a listing and evaluation of other, less plausible explanations of the Soviet decision to invade are appended.
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