Research for International Diplomacy

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Superpower Naval Crisis Management in the Mediterranean
September 1, 1981
This paper analyzes the role of the U.S. and the USSR in recent Mediterranean crises and estimates ability of the U.S. Navy to continue to fulfill its crisis role there in the future.
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AN (THE?) EXPLANATION OF THE SOVIET INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN
June 1, 1981
This paper provides a brief description of the problems facing any analysis of Soviet intentions. The context in which the actions under examination took place is sketched out. A review of the course of events in Afghanistan and the role apparently played by the Soviets there is provided. Subsequently, the motivations judged most likely to have precipitated the invasion are outlined. A brief treatment of some of the implications of this conclusion is included and a listing and evaluation of other, less plausible explanations of the Soviet decision to invade are appended.
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THIRD WORLD MILITARY ELITES IN SOVIET PERSPECTIVE
February 1, 1981
This report discusses the Soviet trend of regarding the 'antiimperialist bonapartism' of third world military elites as 'progressive social development.' It highlights the dissenting views of the Soviet scholar Mirskiy.
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SOVIET POLICY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA: THE DECISION TO INTERVENE
February 1, 1981
The main intent of this paper is to elucidate the factors that appear to have influenced Soviet decisions to support Ethiopia during the period immediately preceding and during the Somali-Ethiopian conflict in the Ogaden, roughly from 1976 to late 1977.
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Superpower Security Interests in the Indian Ocean Area
February 1, 1981
This paper provides an assessment of how events in Southwest Asia (particularly the Islamic revolution in Iran, the seizing of hostages in Tehran, and Soviet combat forces invading Afghanistan) have jeopardized the major interests of the superpowers and how their policies appear to be changing in response to these threats.
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WAR AND PEACE IN THE NORTH: SOME POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE CHANGING MILITARY SITUATION IN NORTHERN EUROPE
February 1, 1981
This paper emphasizes Soviet naval capability and policy in this presentation on military implications of the political situation in Northern Europe.
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The Decline of the Overseas Station Fleets: the United States Asiatic Fleet and the Shanghai Crisis, 1932
February 1, 1981

This paper discusses the Shanghai incident of 1932 and how it marked the end of a form of naval activity, the protection and promotion of trade in peacetime, that had predominated in the Far East.

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AN INDICATOR OF INFORMAL EMPIRE: PATTERNS OF U.S. NAVY CRUISING ON OVERSEAS STATIONS, 1869-1897
February 1, 1981
This paper draws on the patterns of U.S. overseas cruising between 1869 and 1897 to validate the concept of 'informal empire', proposed by historians.
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SEAPORT DEPENDENCE AND INTER-STATE COOPERATION: THE CASE OF SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
February 1, 1981
This paper presents a study of cooperation among 18 sub-Saharan African states during their first post-colonial decade (1962-1968).
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