Research for Globalization

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Transforming U.S. Forces and the World: Are They Connected?
July 1, 2006
As a CNA Self-Initiated Project, the author has brought together a series of strands of national security that he had been working on: the American Way of War, globalization and the U.S. Navy, the Global War on Terror, fleet architectures, the responses of U.S. forces to situations around the world, capabilities-based planning, and a study in anticipation of QDR-06 for the Office of Force Transformation. Of particular prior importance was work on the changing nature of warfare for the National Intelligence Council, where techniques for looking out to 2020 were developed. This paper is in some ways a summary of all that previous work: the state of the world, the state of conflict in the world, U.S. foreign policy, especially after 9/11, the global war on terror, the future of U.S. forces after Iraq, and how the U.S. Navy relates to all this. The paper is set "after Iraq," but at the time of writing, it was not clear when Iraq would be "over," and what "over" would look like.
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Globalization and Proliferation: A Presentation to a Workshop of Proliferation Networks at the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, 29 June - 1 July, 2005
August 1, 2005
This paper was prepared for a conference on proliferation networks held at the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, from 29 June to 1 July 2005. The conference was sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA). The general proposition of the paper is that both globalization as we know it and proliferation -- particularly, nuclear proliferation, which is discussed in this paper -- started in 1945 with the end of World War II. The spread of globalization, especially after the end of the Cold War in 1989, has been extensive, moving immense numbers of people out of poverty. In contrast, nuclear proliferation has been sparse, with only 8 members of the set and two others (North Korea and Iran) about to join. Proliferation is an aspect of globalization, but it is at the moment a choice of those countries opting out of globalization. The prospects of terrorists getting nuclear weapons is exceedingly remote.
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The Changing Nature of Warfare Transcript and Summary of a Conference, 25-26 May 2004 at The CNA Corporation
November 1, 2004
The National Intelligence Council (NIC) and specifically the National Intelligence Officer (NIO)for Military Issues asked CNAC to conduct a conference on the changing nature of warfare through 2020 as part of their project on Global Trends 2020. CNAC commissioned 21 papers on various aspects of the subject and convened a conference on 25-26 May 2004 at which the papers were presented and discussed. This document contains a brief summary of the conference, followed by a transcript (not verbatim) of the presentations and discussions, followed by a longer summary of the conference. See also CNAC document CIM D0010879.A1/Final of October 2004, which extends beyond the discussions of the conference to explore the wider range of evolutions of warfare toward the year 2020.
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