Research for force structure
October 1, 2008
The Enhanced Billet Analysis Tool (BAT V2) is a Microsoft Access application that allows manpower analysts to quickly determine how changes to the force structure and/or shore infrastructure affect the Navy’s overall manpower requirements. BAT V2 provides four major capabilities to help analysts study current and future manpower requirements. First, using data from the Total Force Manpower Management System (TFMMS), it can determine how changes to the force structure (and shore infrastructure) affect manpower requirements and costs within the FYDP. Second, it can estimate how changes to the force structure (and shore infrastructure) affect shore manpower requirements and the size of the Navy’s Individuals Account (e.g., enlisted student billet requirements). Third, it can forecast future manpower requirements beyond the FYDP (out to 30 years). And, fourth, it provides the capability to examine the effects of changing manpower requirements for individual force structure units or shore activities on the Navy’s total requirements. This last capability also allows users to define manpower requirements for future platforms (not yet in TFMMS) and include these platforms in scenarios to forecast future requirements.
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January 1, 2008
This study, sponsored by Commander, US Naval Forces Central Command, identifies the future missions, concepts of operations, and capability requirements for the Iraqi Navy, and recommends a force structure for 2015 and beyond. We found that the Iraqi Navy will need two patrol boats; six fast, armed shallow-draft boats; three harbor patrol craft; three armed helicopters; coastal artillery; fixed radar; automatic identification systems; forward-looking infrared equipment; specialized units for diving, mine countermeasures, and explosive ordnance disposal; and equipment to provide flexible and secure command, control, and communications. This study was well received by the sponsor and the Iraqi Navy, and the Iraqi Minister of Defense has incorporated our recommendations into the navy’s force structure plan for 2008-2020.
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October 1, 2007
To help the Navy study manpower requirements within its support infrastructure, CNA developed the Shore/Support Module to augment the capabilities of the Billet Analysis Tool (BAT). This module, when used in conjunction with BAT, will provide manpower analysts with more robust estimates of how changes to the force structure affect the Navy’s overall manpower requirements. The Shore/Support Module estimates the effects of force structure changes on manpower requirements in several of the Navy’s shore/support infrastructure’s work function areas—namely, the individuals account, training, maintenance, and health care services. For the individuals account, it estimates the student billet requirements for A-school training, NEC training, and Recruit training. In the area of training, it estimates instructor requirements for A- and C-school training. For maintenance functions, it estimates billet requirements at intermediate and depot-level maintenance activities that result from changing the number of ships, submarines, and aviation squadrons. And, for health care services, it estimates manpower requirements for the segment of the health care force that provides medical care to nondeployed active duty Servicemembers and their dependents but is not directly tied to medical mobilization requirements during wartime or in support of contingency operations.
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September 1, 2006
In building POM programs to meet future mission requirements, Navy force planners evaluate numerous force structure alternatives. Two key considerations in evaluating these alternatives are manpower requirements and costs. The Director of Total Force Programming and Manpower (N12) is responsible for determining the manpower requirements and costs of each alternative. Doing this using the current manpower database systems and tools, however, is a laborious, time-intensive process. To better support manpower planning and programming efforts, N12 needs an analytical tool that can quickly determine the manpower implications of force structure changes. To meet this need, CNA developed the Billet Analysis Tool (BAT). BAT is a Microsoft Access application that uses data from the Navy’s Total Force Manpower Management System (TFMMS) to determine the manpower implications of changes to the Navy’s force structure, shore/support infrastructure, and manning level policies. It calculates, for a user-defined scenario, the change in billet requirements and authorizations for each component of the total force: active duty, full-time support (FTS), Selected Reserve (SELRES), and government civilians. Results can be aggregated and displayed at various levels of detail down to the rating/designator and paygrade levels. The tool also calculates manpower costs using both programming and composite cost rates.
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May 1, 2001
At the beginning of the new century, the Navy is undergoing a series of major changes in the way it fights. Changes in the force structure have altered the demand on personnel. New technologies are revolutionizing Navy platforms and concepts of operations. Business practices have shifted some work previously done by military personnel to civilians in both the civil service and the private sector. Organizational changes for all the armed forces, first initiated with the passage of Goldwater-Nichols in 1986, have placed increasing control in the hands of the joint arena. This paper explores how and why an efficient military might include an increasing proportion of senior officers over time. The argument rests on four main pillars: force structure; technology; outsourcing; and joint, interagency, and international coordination.
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