Research for Force Requirements

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April 1, 1998
The Deputy Chief of Naval Personnel asked CNA to analyze ways to transform the size and shape of the enlisted force to better meet the Navy's future requirements at an affordable cost. This research analyzes alternatives to the existing sea pay structure that generate voluntary extensions of sea duty, reduce crew turnover, and improve retention. The briefing discusses three options: an accelerated phase-in of sea pay table, an expanded sea pay premium, and a mixture of phase-in and sea pay premium. It compares them with maintaining the existing structure of the sea pay table and simply scaling it up by the rate of inflation and also assesses their effectiveness in reducing enlisted crew turnover and increasing sea duty and retention among the enlisted sailors. An accelerated phase-in option, which generates more first-term retention and helps with sea/shore balance, is recommended.
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May 1, 1996
In a period of shrinking resource, the Navy is searching for ways to reduce the costs of operating and supporting its forces. Those savings can be used to help recapitalize the Navy as the turn of the century approaches. Past efforts at reducing support costs have often focused on outsourcing or privatizing work that can be done commercially. Evidence from past research indicates that savings are available form outsourcing work and from public-private competitions. The evidence indicates that the pressure of competition, among private sector firms and between government activities and the private sector, is the source of those savings. In the Program Objectives Memorandum (POM) process, resource sponsors pay a price for each billet they authorize. The Navy has begun to include more explicit personnel costs in the POM process. This paper considers the potential for how that cost information may improve manpower resource decisions and examines broader decision-making frameworks as well.
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July 1, 1990
Presents briefing slides and accompanying text on the changing nuclear threat and the assumptions and methodology used for a scenario analysis. Conditions under which U.S. leaders would seriously consider use of military force to deal with Third World nuclear crises and military options of the U.S. are considered. Annexes include threat methodology and a description of scenarios.
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November 1, 1983
This paper examines France's tactical and strategic nuclear policies, and analyzes the changes which French nuclear forces are likely to undergo in the 1980s and 1990s.
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January 1, 1983
This paper clarifies the linkages between Soviet Naval intentions and the capabilities they acquire to implement them, and examines the role U.S. actions appear to have played in the evolution of Soviet intentions and capabilities.
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November 1, 1982
This paper examines the new plans for a number of Western European and NATO navies. These plans were formulated in 1981 and 1982 and propose the structure of naval fleets and future procurement of ships and aircraft.
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September 1, 1982
This paper examines the policies that have guided the Soviets in establishing and exploiting their Mediterranean naval presence, identifies the indications that these policies may be changing, and forecasts the effects that these possible policy changes may have.
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July 1, 1981
This paper examines current plans for the future of the U.S. Navy, notably budget increases ordered by the Reagan Administration as they existed at the end of March 1981.
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February 1, 1981
This paper emphasizes that U.S. military presence in the Pacific has not changed in its fundamental intent over the past years.
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February 1, 1981

This paper discusses the forces that have shaped the U.S. Navy, identifies its ships and aircraft, describes its composition, and answers questions concerning its future.

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