A model is described for projecting inventories of enlisted naval personnel expected to result from management policy aimed at controlling the size and experience mix of the inventory. The effects of policy changes are modeled as changes in flow probabilities into and through an inventory partitioned along dimensions of experience level (length of service) and time until end of obligated service. An example is presented which illustrates several innovative features of the model which lead to an improved planning capability. Continuing efforts to improve the model are discussed.
The productivity of enlisted personnel aboard ships is measured as a function of their personal characteristics. Ship readiness as measured by the material condition of shipboard equipment, depends on the size and composition of a ship's crew, the complexity of equipment, and other factors. The productivity of enlisted personnel varies systematically with high school graduation, entry test scores, paygrade, experience, Navy training, race, and marital status. The importance of particular factors varies by occupation. More complex equipment is in worse condition and requires higher quality personnel. Ship age and overhaul frequency also affect material condition. Implications are drawn for policies regarding recruitment, retention, manning, rotation, and pay.