Research for Enlisted Personnel

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July 1, 1985
New estimates of the effect of unemployment on enlisted retention are provided in this paper. Unemployment is found to have a positive effect upon the reenlistment rate for seven of the nine rating groups studied, and a positive effect upon both the extension rate and the total retention rate for all nine rating groups. However, the pay elasticities are three to five times as large as the unemployment elasticities, so that decreases in the unemployment rate may be offset by much smaller percentage increases in military pay.
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May 1, 1985
This paper analyzes the causes of the rise in the dependency rate for Marine Corps enlisted personnel since 1980. The effect of economic and demographic factors are examined statistically, and forecasts through 1988 are provided.
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January 1, 1985
This paper studies the value of aircraft simulators as measures of training readiness. Simulator evaluations are analyzed for reserve enlisted crewmen on Navy patrol aircraft. Part-time reservists are found to have very little skill loss over time and perform as well as their full-time counterparts. Experience in the simulator produces substantial increases in subsequent flights and appears to be a useful measures of readiness and a valuable training experience.
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July 1, 1984
The prevalence of alcohol and drug use in the Marine Corps and the effectiveness of programs to combat it are assessed in this study. The analysis is based on the answers to an anonymous survey administered to 18,000 randomly chosen enlisted and officer personnel. The survey results were compared to those of similar surveys in 1980 and 1982 to discern trends. The analysis showed that, while the proportion of drinkers has remained constant, the proportion of heavy drinkers declined by a factor of two from 1980 to 1983. Drug use showed an even sharper drop: from 37 percent of all Marines in 1980 to 17 percent in 1983. These trends are attributed to the Marine Corps education and urinalysis programs.
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July 1, 1984
This is volume II of a two-volume report on the results of a study concerning alcohol and drug use in the Marine Corps. It contains eight appendixes presenting detailed data and analyses supporting the main text in Volume I. The questionnaire used in the survey is reproduced in appendix A; appendix B describes the survey methodology; appendix C contains tables giving the sizes of the populations and samples surveyed; appendix D addresses the accuracy of the results obtained from the survey; appendix E describes the composite measure, or index, developed for estimating the monthly consumption of alcoholic beverages; appendix F looks at the patterns of responses to the questionnaires and how consistent they were; appendix G contains tables showing the prevalence of alcohol and drug use by unit type, location, and pay grade; and appendix H shows the relationship between urinalysis test results and use of drugs at the time tested.
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April 1, 1984
This report quantifies the link between civilian job growth and military retention for Navy enlisted personnel. The magnitude of this effect is identified--at both the first and second re-enlistment decision points--for highly technical ratings and for ratings which are not highly technical. The effect that future civilian job growth will have on the chances that Navy personnel will reenlist or leave is then projected, using occupational forecasts for the next decade provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
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April 1, 1984
This paper analyzes an unusual and largely unresearched data set, Rand Corporation's Enlisted Utilization Survey.
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October 1, 1983
Examines ways of expanding the Navy manpower pool by estimating the effects of Navy policy and recruiting resources on the available supply of manpower.
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October 1, 1983
Develops a way to predict the supply of high quality accessions to all four services, and projects accession rates for the next decade.
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August 1, 1983
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between pay and retention during the All Volunteer Force era. The report also derives estimates of the relationship between pay at one decision point and retention at future decision points.
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