Research for Enlisted Personnel

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December 1, 1990
This research memorandum examines the validity of the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) against several measures of infantry performance collected as part of Job Performance Measurement project. ASVAB was highly related to hands-on performance of critical infantry tasks, written infantry job knowledge tests, and grades in initial infantry training courses. The validity of ASVAB was also found to extend into the second term of service by being able to predict the performance of infantry unit leaders.
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September 1, 1990
This paper addresses issues related to the use of alternative and surrogate tests of the skills associated with rifle firing.
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August 1, 1990
The purpose of this paper is to present a rationale for evaluating minimum qualifiying standards that incorporate policy guidance and directives together with data from the Job Performance Measurement (JPM) project. First, policy guidance and directives are discussed and defined more precisely for use in quantitative analyses. The policy statements are then applied to results from the JPM project to compute a minimum qualifying aptitude score for the infantry occupational field.
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August 1, 1990
This research memorandum reviews methods for quantifying the trade-offs between using proxy (i.e., surrogate) measures of job performance versus the established benchmark criterion of hands-on performance tests. Such analytical methods must be sensitive to the intended application of the proxy. Two applications that require precise performance information are examined for equivalence of outcomes when proxies are used as opposed to hands-on tests.
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July 1, 1990
A surrogate measure is an expedient indicator of job proficiency that is reliable and valid and that yields results similar to a Hands On Performance Test (HOPT). HOPTs are the benchmark by which surrogates should be compared but HOPTs are too expensive, dangerous, or time intensive to use for most purposes. This paper uses Job Performance Measurement (JPM) data to analyze the usefulness of six surrogates (proficiency marks, training grade point average, conduct marks, job knowledge tests, video firing tasks, and supervisor ratings) for infantry tests. The paper addresses how useful each proxy would be for setting infantry enlistment standards and assessing Marine Corps training needs.
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June 1, 1990
This research memorandum examines first-term attrition for female recruits accessed in the FY 1983 through FY 1985 period. Female first-term attrition probabilities are modeled as a function of background characteristics at entry into the Navy.
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April 1, 1990
This research memorandum briefly reviews trends in Marine Corps first-term attrition and then analyzes recruit background characteristics and Marine Corps environment variables associated with successful adaptation to Marine Corps life. Three measures of success are examined: completion of the first term of service, completion of the first term of service at the rank of corporal, and retention beyond the initial service obligation.
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March 1, 1990
An Adaptability Screening Profile has been developed for possible use in selecting applicants who are likely to complete their service obligations. Marine Corps data on completing 21 months are available on one part of the Profile. These data are analyzed to predict probability of 21-month completion from Profile score and educational tier.
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January 1, 1990
This research memorandum investigates whether enlisted endstrength cuts can be implemented to meet the following objectives: The personnel structure of the Navy after the strength cuts should be stable, advancement opportunity should change as little as possible, and endstrength cuts should be taken without having to extend involuntary separations beyond current policy. The analysis shows that these goals can be met by phasing cuts over a number of years if the percentage of petty officers in the inventory is simultaneously increased by a small amount.
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September 1, 1989
One of the goals of the Enlisted Force Management Integration project is to study the effect on the force structure of changes in Navy policies. Requirements data are necessary both for creating a model of force structure and for modeling changes in force policy. The Enlisted Billet File is the major source of data on requirements for Navy enlisted personnel. This paper describes a number of the data elements on the file. Its purpose is to identify those data elements that are potentially useful for the project.
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