Research for Economic Theory

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February 1, 1981
This paper discusses the validity of two common beliefs held by forest economists.
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February 1, 1981
This paper uses an econometric model to estimate the short-term gains and losses to particular groups from free trade in the steel industry.
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February 1, 1981

This paper explores the normative implications for government action on the presumption that factors are 'entitled' to their marginal product. The conclusions are that imperfections in knowledge, mobility, and competition should be removed by court action as a matter of distributive justice, and that collective goods, including income redistribution, should be paid for by those who demand the goods. Compensation is appropriate when government changes the rules it has itself imposed or when it recognizes new property rights where they did not formerly exist.

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February 1, 1981
Unemployment insurance (UI) benefits are financed by state taxes on employers. The wide diversity of tax systems among states has received a great deal of attention recently because many state UI funds have run out of money. When such a fund does run out, the state borrows from a Federal Trust Fund that is financed by a tax on employers in all states. There is a great deal of disagreement over how and when debts to the Federal Trust Fund should be repaid. PRI conducted a study for the National Commission on Unemployment Compensation to help UI administrators evaluate tax systems and predict how changes in tax systems would change fund balances.
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July 1, 1980
In the last 25 to 30 years, payroll taxes and subsidies for investment have substantially altered relative factor prices facing firms. This paper presents theoretical and empirical findings on how these taxes and subsidies have affected long-run factor substitution in U.S. manufacturing industries and the short-run effects of payroll taxes on inflation in the economy as a whole.
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January 1, 1980
Between 1978 and 1985, municipal governments and private industry will spend about $111 billion dollars on construction of new facilities to reduce air and water pollution as mandated by the EPA. This report presents estimates of how these projected expenditures will affect the total level of construction and how employment, wages, interest rates, and other variables will respond to the change in construction output. Effects on employment in selected subclasses of the construction industry were also estimated.
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December 1, 1979
This paper disputes the Keynesian model in which tax increases are considered deflationary, claiming that tax increases are actually inflationary.
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November 1, 1979
This paper presents estimates of how changes in the price of inputs to R&D, and changes in federal funding of R&D, affect private demand for R&D. Estimates of the return to privately funded and federally funded R&D are also presented. Estimates are obtained using regression analysis. Data used in the analysis were for fourteen manufacturing industries covering the period 1958 to 1975. A steady-state rotation model is described in CNA Research Contribution 380.
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June 1, 1978

This paper presents an approach for analysis and estimation of dynamic market structures with rational expectations. Certainty equivalence is maintained and aggregate behavior represented by linear equations with some expected prices as arguments. Conditions imposed by the market structure are solved for an equilibrium, fixed point, price sequence. In this framework prices, current and expected, are linear functions of exogenous values and elements of a state vector. The structure poses an interesting estimation problem and suggests effective estimation procedures. Results for an application to the broiler chicken market using three years of weekly data are discussed.

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June 1, 1974
This paper develops a theoretical model of the crime flows between areas of a city or other urban region, identifying the factors which determine the flows. It also tests the hypotheses concerning the effects of the economic variables identified in the model on the generation and occurrence of property crime.
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