December 1, 2002
Abstract:D7147 The Navy has long faced difficulties in manning certain billets. To alleviate its problems, it has used a patchwork of assignment incentives. Then, if all else fails, the Navy orders sailors involuntarily into hard-to-fill billets. In this study, we consider the costs of the current system and determine how the Navy might encourage sailors to volunteer for hard-to-fill billets cost-efficiently. We find that an incentive pay for hard-to-fill billets (such as Assignment Incentive Pay) is a promising way of moving the Navy toward a more voluntary, efficient assignment system if designed as a flexible, market-based pay. For overseas shore billets that currently use sea-duty credit as an incentive, AIP will almost certainly be cost-effective. The cost of getting volunteers for OCONUS billets would probably be below $25 million annually using an efficiently designed AIP. Sea duty credit is at least three times more costly. AIP, however, may not be cost-effective for CONUS shore billets. Our best estimate is that sailors may volunteer for traditionally difficult-to-fill billets for an AIP of about $125 per month on average-about the same cost as the savings generated from AIP. For these billets, great care must be taken in designing a cost-effective bonus.
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