Research for Defense

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The Changing Nature of Warfare Through 2020
October 1, 2004
In this summary report, we will put the changing nature of warfare as discussed at the conference in to strategic context and extend its implication toward the year 2020.
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Capabilities-Based Planning in the Coming Global Security Environment: A Paper for the Monterey Strategy Seminar of 21 September 2004
October 1, 2004
Capabilities-based planning is advertised as the new approach to planning in the Department of Defense. A simple definition of such planning would be that it should be threat-less and scenario-less. Unfortunately, the new defense planning system requires that the planning be tested in what are essentially "vertical" scenarios, i.e., spikes in time, and this leads to the invention of enemies and threats to fill the scenarios. The main drawback in this is that it is hard to apply such planning to the "horizontal" scenarios the United States now faces, especially the global war on terror, which is expected to last a long time.
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A MODEL OF FLEET DEFENSE BY INTERCEPTOR AIRCRAFT
June 1, 1974
This research contribution describes an iterative Monte Carlo computer simulation of fleet defense by carrier-based aircraft. The model is completely general in regard to the size of the committed forces and the capabilities of their weapons, and it allows some diversity in the composition of the defending interceptor force. It also permits consideration of a variety of tactical options.
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