Research for CRM

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Attrition From Navy Enlistment Contracts
January 1, 1986
This research memorandum reports on the construction of an individual-level data set for Navy enlistment contracts for FY83 and FY84. It discusses the problems associated with these data and formalizes a contract attrition model, which is then estimated in a logistic framework.
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Evaluation of Models and Techniques for Estimating the Effects of Competition
January 1, 1986
An evaluation of past efforts to estimate the savings due to the use of competition in weapon system production programs is presented. The evaluation was based on the research literature available from the historical efforts. The evaluation of the literature discusses in detail the analytical models and techniques used in the analyses of price formation in sole-source and competitive production programs, the data bases used and reported for the programs studied, and the results and conclusions reported in the literature. The memorandum concludes that the models and techniques used to assess the price effects of competition are immature and inadequate to sort out the effects of comptetition sought by the analyses; that the data bases used in the literature are incomplete, of uneven quality, and may be seriously biased; and that the resulting estimates of savings due to the use of competition are of uneven validity.
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The Reactivation Process for the Ready Reserve Force
December 1, 1985
This memorandum is part of a study by the Center for Naval Analyses of the Mobile Logistics Support Force. It describes the role of the Military Sealift Command in obtaining needed shipping assets in a contingency, the reactivation process and associated costs for ships in the Ready Reserve Fleet, crewing and equipment issues for reactivated ships, and potential reactivation problems. The analysis emphasizes the portion of these activities associated with the Mobile Logistics Support Force.
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Dragon at Sea: China's Navy in Strategy and Diplomacy
December 1, 1985
The prospects for Sino-U.S. naval relations from a strategic perspective are examined. The status of China's navy as a fighting force and efforts to modernize that force are reviewed. The paper also looks at China's navy in regional security issues affecting Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and the Indian Ocean. Finally, in discussing Sino-U.S. naval relations specifically, the paper concludes that some cooperation between the U.S. and Chinese navies seems to be in the interest of 'peace and stability' in the Pacific. Whether the U.S. and China can surmount their differences to achieve some limited military (including naval) relationship remains an open question.
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Summary Report: Manning the 600-Ship Navy
December 1, 1985
A series of projects designed to improve the Navy's ability to set manpower requirements and to develop cost-effective compensation policies to fill these requirements is summarized. The analyses included several efforts to improve the methodology used to define manpower requirements. A computer model was designed to help in the analysis of the impact of changes in the size of the fleet on requirements at the individual billet level. Development of methodologies to assess the potential for civilian substitution and to define test score and educational requirements for accessions was also completed. The impact of personal characteristics and Navy training on the performance of enlisted personnel was the subject of two separate research efforts. Finally, the effects of compensation policy on high-quality personnel and of sea pay on hard-to-fill sea-intensive billets were the subjects of two studies of retention behavior.
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Merchant Ship Naval Augmentation Program
December 1, 1985
The Merchant Ship Naval Augmentation Program (MSNAP) is a research and development program. It supports a procurement plan whereby merchant ships will be modified to allow rapid installation of modular or standardized Underway Replenishment (UNREP) equipment such as the Standard Tensioned Replenishment Alongside Method (STREAM) gear delivery system or fuel transfer station gear. MSNAP gear enables merchant ships to operate as naval auxiliary UNREP ships to conduct consolidation operations and limited direct replenishment of combatant ships. This memorandum describes the MSNAP demonstrations that were performed in 1981 and 1985 and discusses the status of MSNAP funding, planned ship modifications, and ship manning issues.
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The Soviet Naval Air Forces
November 1, 1985
The evolution of the mission and capabilities of Soviet aviation assigned to maritime roles from the days of the Tsarist Navy to the present is reviewed. The author addresses the mission priorities revealed in the Soviet literature, the hardward developed in response to those priorities, and the trends that can be identified from the literature and these developments.
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The New Strategic Outlook in the Pacific
October 1, 1985
The strategic outlook in the Pacific is discussed in this research memorandum. In doing so, it looks at the Asia-Pacific region in historical perspective, examines the area's role in deterrence and a global conflict, and touches on current problems in the region.
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An Introduction to Wargaming and Its Uses
October 1, 1985
The nature of wargaming and its uses in exploring defense issues is discussed in this paper. It is the first in a series of papers written to help wargame designers, players, analysts, and decision makers at all levels to better understand and exploit wargaming.
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The History and Effectiveness of the Enlistment Bonus Program for Procuring Nuclear-Field Personnel
October 1, 1985
Enlistment bonuses are monetary incentives promised to potential recruits to induce them to sign contracts to join the Navy. The bonuses, paid upon successful completion of class A schools, have been awarded in military skill areas characterized by inadequate volunteer levels. This memorandum describes how the Navy has used enlistment bonuses. Additionally, it provides estimates of the efficacy of enlistment bonuses for procuring recruits for the nuclear field.
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