Research for CRM

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An Analysis of Navy Enlisted Tour Lengths
July 1, 1988
The Navy experiences a substantial amount of turnover among enlisted personnel. Some of this is unplanned (precontract attrition), but much of the turnover is the result of rotation or losses upon the completion of an enlistment contract. This research memorandum summarizes information on the actual length of completed tours for a sample of more than 10,000 tours completed in 1985 and 1986.
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Surface Warfare Community Structure: The First Eight Years of Service
July 1, 1988
This research memorandum describes the career paths for Surface Warfare Officers (SWOs) during their first eight years of active duty. Longitudinal history files were created for each of four year groups and were then used to determine summary statistics for the movement of officers into and out of the SWO community, attainment of SWO qualifications, and selection for department head.
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Determining Continuation Rates for Pilots from the Officer Master File
June 1, 1988
This research memorandum examines how the definition of the continuation rate for Naval officers is implemented using data from the Officer Master File. Continuation rates are measured for a cohort of officers defined by their designator and year group. Several conceptual and data problems arise because the simple definition of the continuation rate does not account for various inflows and outflows for specific cohorts. The effect of including or excluding various subgroups within a cohort is considered using pilots from year groups 73 through 78 for the period from 1980 through 1986.
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Statistical Methods for Improving the Assessment of Recruiting Market Conditions
June 1, 1988
This research memorandum quantifies historical seasonal patterns in recruiting statistics and shows them to have evolved over time. Decline in seasonal variation dates from 1978 to 1980 for various measures of recruiting flows. Deseasonalized versions of these recruiting statistics are produced for use in econometric time-series models. The results provide a benchmark for gauging the seasonal component of Navy recruiting goals and achievements.
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Who Stays and Who Leaves? Identifying Successful Navy Recruits
June 1, 1988
This research memorandum examines the relationship between recruit characteristics and recruit success. The analysis uses three related measures of recruit performance and several recruit characteristics obtained from enlistment applications to determine the characteristics of recruits who are more likely to be successful. Indexes of recruit-success propensity for recruits with different characteristics are calculated for each of the three performance measures.
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Assessment of DON Shore Base Readiness Analysis
May 1, 1988
This research memorandum documents the Center for Naval Analyses' assessment of the Price Waterhouse shore base facility condition readiness model. The accuracy and reasonableness of the model's predictions are assessed. Suggestions are made for revising the presentation of the model's results and for refining the model.
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Recruiting Resources and Policies
May 1, 1988
How can Commander, Navy Recruiting Command, manage enlisted recruiters more cost effectively to provide the needed quantity and quality of recruits? The Recruiting Resources and Policies Study addressed this question by examining geographic variation in enlistment goals, recruit production, and recruiter incentives. This research memorandum summarizes the study and highlights the major policy implications.
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Retention of Navy Veterans in the Selected Reserve
May 1, 1988
This analysis develops and estimates a model of retention during the first year of affiliation in the Selected Reserve. Estimates of the effects of pay and personal characteristics are provided for 11 Navy rating groups. The results should be useful for forecasting Selected Reserve manpower levels and for evaluating the effects of affiliation and retention bonuses.
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Industrial Preparedness Planning: A Review of the Literature
March 1, 1988
This research memorandum reviews the history of Industrial Preparedness Planning (IPP) as revealed in government directives, past studies, and budget documents. IPP policy development, planning methods, and organizations are summarized, and alternative planning methods proposed by other researchers are presented. The paper identifies problems that impede good planning and presents conclusions that help to explain the dilemma of IPP today. Recommendations from other studies are presented. Navy options for IPP will be presented in a future research memorandum concluding the study.
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Interim Results for the Marine Corps Job Performance Measurement Project
March 1, 1988
The Joint-Service Performance Measurement Project was initiated in 1981 at the request of Congress to validate the selection test used by the services against measures of job performance. The charter for the project called for an annual report to Congress describing the progress of each service. An additional requirement was for each service to outline its research effort to link its job performance data to the determination of enlistment standards. The material presented in this research memorandum formed the basis for the Marine Corps submission to the sixth annual report.
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