Research for CRM

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August 1, 1997
This study is a follow-on effort to a recently completed project, sponsored by the Commanding General, Marine Corps Combat Development Command, that assessed the general applicability of the new sciences to land warfare. 'New Sciences' is a catch-all phrase that refers to the tools and methodologies used in nonlinear dynamics and complex systems theory to study physical systems that exhibit a 'complicated dynamics.' CNA is currently developing a multiagent-based simulation of notional combat called ISAAC (Irreducible Semi-Autonomous Adaptive Combat), a preliminary version of which is described in this report. ISAAC takes a bottom-up, synthesist approach to the modeling of combat, vice the more traditional top-down, or reductionist approach.
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July 1, 1997
Between 1994 and 1996, CNA conducted a study to determine ways in which the Marine Corps could improve its ability to conduct humanitarian assistance operations (HAOs). The study identified requirements for HAOs and alternative ways to meet those requirements. CNA found that some HAO tasks match warfighting tasks, such as operating a reverse osmosis water purification unit. Many HAO tasks are similar to warfighting tasks, but by have a different focus. For example, in an HAO, logistics may be the primary mission rather than a support function for the primary mission of warfighting. In addition, some tasks in HAOs are completely different from warfighting tasks, such as using the military to support civilian organizations rather than as the focus of an operation. In this analysis, we address the following question: How can the military adapt to the HAO environment so that appropriate military tasks can be determined? Our analysis focuses on how to derive tasks, particularly implied tasks, in HAOs. We define implied tasks as those tasks that have not been specified to accomplish or not, but that need to be conducted to accomplish the mission.
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July 1, 1997
Despite shrinking budgets, the U.S. military is struggling to simultaneously fund force levels, current operations, and an aggressive modernization program. Many believe the military can fund its recapitalization program if cost efficiencies can be achieved from within infrastructure budgets. One way to reduce infrastructure costs is through competition, outsourcing, and privatization. Whether the in-house (or organic) team or the private team wins the contract, the government benefits because the competition lowers costs and increases productivity. This paper examines the maintenance of the Navy's TA-4Js. The value of this analysis is that it allows us to look at a long series of performance and cost data, both for in-house and contractor maintenance. Because we have data on three contractors, we can also examine the effect of changing contractors.
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May 1, 1997
In January 1997, CNA published a report (CRM 96-133) that identified the most cost-effective and operationally suitable strategy for testing and repairing electronic components on AEGIS destroyers. The study concluded that alternatives that included the sue of the USM-646 tester on board the DDGs (and, by implication, on other ships as well) were the most cost-effective. The USM 646 tester, which is based on a personal computer, uses diagnostic software (called gold disks) on a CD-ROM to test electronic components for faults. Once the faults are identified, they can be repaired if the correct equipment and parts are available. By doing tests and repairs on board, a ship can avoid considerable depot-level repair costs and other costs as well. A full test ad repair capability requires five elements: the USM-646; a gold disk library; a PACE 2000 tool station; a supply of repair piece parts; and qualified technicians. Subsequently, OPNAV asked CNA to develop an investment strategy that would state the order in which surface ships should receive the elements. N43 further asked that we identify the costs and cost avoidance associated with this strategy.
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May 1, 1997
The Commandant of the Coast Guard requested CNA analytical assistance in identifying the Coast Guard's enduring features and in describing its unique character as a multi-missioned institution serving a diverse customer base. This task is an essential feature of a brader study attempting to develop a notional end state for the year 2020 by comparing service missions with trends affecting them. We believe that the future direction of the Coast Guard must be consistent with the service's enduring characteristics and its history and traditions. This report contains a brief history of the organization, a description of Coast Guard purpose and responsibilities, and a discussion of service identity and characteristics, organizational motivation, and national contributions. The reader should understand that his document represents an outsiders view of the Coast Guard.
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April 1, 1997
To improve the quality of life of service members and increase overall efficiency, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Installations and Facilities asked CNA to examine Department of the Navy (DON) housing processes, identify options and alternatives to the current system, and evaluate these options. In this paper, we present our analysis of current DON housing practices. Its purpose is to describe the current state of housing benefits, including costs, conditions, processes, and value to the service members. These descriptions will serve as a baseline for comparison with proposed alternatives to the current housing system. This paper has five parts. In the first, we give a short overview of current DON housing benefits and summarize the results of the study. In the three sections that follow, we discuss current family housing, bachelor housing, and off-base allowances. In the last section, we list our conclusions.
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March 1, 1997
During our studies of naval readiness issues, we have identified some persistent questions about monitoring readiness. In this paper, we try to answer three of those questions: What should be the goal or baseline for readiness in the Navy? Is current readiness moving toward traditional hollowness, away from hollowness, or in a different direction altogether? How can we compress many indicators of readiness into one or a few indicators? The approaches we used data on readiness and personnel quality for active surface combatants and then replicate the analysis for fighter and attack aircraft squadrons.
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March 1, 1997
In the wake of a changing defense climate, the Navy is continuing to find ways to adjust to its smaller size while maintaining its ability to respond when required. An important part of strategy is to monitor readiness during the downsizing process. The first step toward managing readiness is to understand what readiness is and why it changes over time or among units. This paper contributes to the further understanding of readiness by identifying the relationship between standard readiness measures and their determinants for Navy fighter, attack, and fighter/attack aircraft. The analysis is an extension of our earlier work on explaining the readiness of surface combatants. Our objective was to build a comprehensive database of navy fighter and attack units over time and identify readiness trends and relationships between readiness determinants and readiness measures where they exist.
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March 1, 1997
New technology is changing the way we train people. The Director of Naval Training (N7) has stated that the Navy needs to incorporate more of this new technology in to its training environments. To achieve this goal, the training community must meet several challenges. N7 asked CNA for help in structuring a cost-benefit analysis of training technology. It wanted CNA to develop a methodology for analyzing and evaluating the potential benefits that new technologies can bring to Navy training. N7 stated that the methodology should define quantitative measures for assessing the benefits, specify mathematical relationships and procedures for computing these measures, and identify the data to be collected.
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March 1, 1997
In this study, we explored ways to quantify the costs and benefits of infusing technology into formal Navy schoolhouse training. At the outset, we worked with the Navy sponsor (N75) to identify a set of high interest and potential technologies - Automated Electronic Classroom (AEC) and Video Teletraining (VTT) - to pursue as a first order of business. This report discusses our analysis and findings concerning the use of AEC technology in Navy training. A separate CNA report addresses our findings with respect to the VTT technology. In keeping with the study tasking, we approached the AEC conversion question as a return-on-investment problem.
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