Research for CRC

-escribes the community-wide effects on employment, earnings, and labor mobility of severe employment declines in major industrial sectors in the period 1960-1970.

Determination of trade-offs between personnel with different characteristics is vital to attaining a high ratio of personnel productivity to costs. Personnel trade-offs are evaluated using unit performance, individual performance, and survey data as measures of productivity. For each approach, previous work is briefly reviewed, then models for improving productivity measurement are presented. Broad-based proposals are made for advancing personnel productivity measurement in the Navy.

Survival curves for NPS female recruits were estimated through eight years of service using the FY 1979 cross-sectional data base. Separate analyses were performed for Class A school attendees and non-A school attendees, holding constant the effects of age, educational level, and mental group. Mean survival times (the areas under the survival curves) were then calculated for each recruit profile. We found that no further screening based on expected months of service is feasible. This is largely due to the fact that the NPS female population is already highly screened. As expected, educational level has the greatest impact on survival. Women with a high school diploma survive an average of 3-4 months longer than those with a GED certificate. The effect of mental group on survival is quite different for A school and non-A school attendees. Survival across mental groups is essentially constant for A school attendees but displays a downward trend as mental group declines for non-A school attendees. For A school attendees, there appears to be a generally increasing trend in survival as age increases. Purely from the standpoint of survival, ages 22 and older are the optimal recruiting ages for these recruits. On the other hand, non-A school attendees exhibit the opposite pattern of survival with respect to age, but to a lesser degree. These recruits have an optimal recruiting age of 17-22.

Recruits who are 17 years old, or have fewer than 12 years of education, or did not participate in the Delayed Entry Program, and show no preference among A-school assignments can be assigned to A-schools in 60 ratings in a way that will increase their chances of completing the first term of service. The stability of these assignment guides is demonstrated across three recruit cohorts. The procedure can be incorporated easily and inexpensively into the Navy's rating assignment procedure.