Research for Computer Models

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November 1, 1990
This research memorandum presents a means of calculating the expected length of 'awaiting-parts time' of weapon replaceable assemblies, which are needed to calculate aircraft readiness in a multi-indenture, readiness-based sparing model. The method presented is appropriate for any other level of indenture. Although full scale application of the model is not feasible at this time, the model aids in comparing and evaluating existing models.
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January 1, 1990
This research memorandum investigates whether enlisted endstrength cuts can be implemented to meet the following objectives: The personnel structure of the Navy after the strength cuts should be stable, advancement opportunity should change as little as possible, and endstrength cuts should be taken without having to extend involuntary separations beyond current policy. The analysis shows that these goals can be met by phasing cuts over a number of years if the percentage of petty officers in the inventory is simultaneously increased by a small amount.
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August 1, 1989
This research memorandum is a user's guide for the six-degree-of-freedom flight path generator, Model of Flying Objects (MOFO). Described in detail are the procedures for setting up, running, and modifying the model's underlying software, as well as input data requirements and the output that the model provides. A functional description of each program module is included, and listings of the FORTRAN source code and an automated modification routine appear as appendixes.
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May 1, 1988
This research memorandum documents the Center for Naval Analyses' assessment of the Price Waterhouse shore base facility condition readiness model. The accuracy and reasonableness of the model's predictions are assessed. Suggestions are made for revising the presentation of the model's results and for refining the model.
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August 1, 1987
The eight-county Allegheny Region of Pennsylvania is 84% forested and comprises one of the state's most valuable timbersheds. Much of this area is inaccessible to conventional logging equipment due to steep slopes, poor drainage, and high erodability. For this reason, there has been a recently growing interest in using cable yarders to harvest these areas. A computer simulation model has been developed to aid in investigating the feasibility of cable logging in this region. This paper explains the design of the model, discusses the field data collected, evaluates the model, and makes recommendations for further data acquisition and model refinement.
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June 1, 1987
The structure and development of the Total Force Enlistment Program Simulation is described in this Research Memorandum. The simulation analyzes changes in inventories of enlisted active-duty and reserve personnel associated with changes in the number of active-duty accessions and their distribution among enlistment programs. The simulation is based on continuation and affiliation behavior of individuals in six enlistment programs as observed in recent years. Total accessions and their distribution among enlistment programs and ratings are inputs to the simulation. The effects of changing these inputs are simulated by comparing the future inventories associated with two different accession profiles.
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June 1, 1987
This Research Memorandum presents technical appendixes to supplement the Total Force Enlistment Programs Simulation. It is divided into four sections. Appendix A contains a guide to assist users of the simulation methodology. In addition to a detailed example of the use of the simulation, it discusses some of the potential uses not explored in Volume I. Appendix B is a description of the methods used in computing the active-duty inventories and continuation behavior. It also lists some of the important active-duty data elements used in the simulation, as well as the major computer programs used to generate these data. Appendix C presents similar descriptions for the SELRES data. A flowchart of the simulation methodology and annotated versions of the simulation programs appear in Appendix D.
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March 1, 1987
This paper describes some of the important elements of wargame design, development, and play. Wargame design is the art of creating a warfare model or simulation to be used in wargaming; wargame development is the process of testing and refining that model to make it more effective in achieving its objectives; and wargame play is the exercising of the model by becoming an integral part of it.
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February 1, 1987
A joint specialist is an Officer who has attended a joint professional military education school such as the Armed Forces Staff College followed by a joint-duty assignment. This research memorandum describes the Joint Specialist Community Model designed to provide Navy policymakers and planners with information for managing joint billets and the joint specialist community in ranks O-4 through O-6. The model uses variables such as the average billet length and promotion rates to determine both the size of the joint specialist community and the number of O-6s able to meet the joint service requirement for promotion to ranks O-7 and above (i.e., flag). The model has been installed on a Lotus 1-2-3 spreadsheet to facilitate its use in studying policy options.
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April 1, 1986
CNA is developing the Aviation Logistics Model (ALM), a simulation model of aviation maintenance and supply aboard an aircraft carrier. The model will be used to support CNA's effort to improve supply and repair policies. ALM is based on a new methodology designed to take full advantage of the structured maintenance and supply data collected on Visual Information Display System-Maintenance Action Forms (VIDS-MAFs). This research memorandum shows the directions being taken during the development process and assumptions being built into the model. It contains an overview of the idea behind the model and the intended use of the model, and a technical description of the current direction of model development.
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