Research for Central America

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Criminal Organizations and Illicit Trafficking in Guatemala’s Border Communities
December 1, 2011

This report examins the effects of illicit trafficking and criminal organizations within the three border municipalities of Guatemala: Sayaxché in the department of Petén, Gualán in Zacapa, and Malacatán in San Marcos.

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A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF REGIME CHANGE IN LATIN AMERICA
February 1, 1981
This paper presents a mathematical model of regime change in Latin America. The model is a finite Markov chain with stationary transition probabilities.
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