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The Changing Nature of Warfare Transcript and Summary of a Conference, 25-26 May 2004 at The CNA Corporation
November 1, 2004
The National Intelligence Council (NIC) and specifically the National Intelligence Officer (NIO)for Military Issues asked CNAC to conduct a conference on the changing nature of warfare through 2020 as part of their project on Global Trends 2020. CNAC commissioned 21 papers on various aspects of the subject and convened a conference on 25-26 May 2004 at which the papers were presented and discussed. This document contains a brief summary of the conference, followed by a transcript (not verbatim) of the presentations and discussions, followed by a longer summary of the conference. See also CNAC document CIM D0010879.A1/Final of October 2004, which extends beyond the discussions of the conference to explore the wider range of evolutions of warfare toward the year 2020.
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The Changing Nature of Warfare Through 2020
October 1, 2004
In this summary report, we will put the changing nature of warfare as discussed at the conference in to strategic context and extend its implication toward the year 2020.
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U.S. Coast Guard: Purpose, Characteristics, Contributions, and Worth to the Nation
May 1, 1997
The Commandant of the Coast Guard requested CNA analytical assistance in identifying the Coast Guard's enduring features and in describing its unique character as a multi-missioned institution serving a diverse customer base. This task is an essential feature of a brader study attempting to develop a notional end state for the year 2020 by comparing service missions with trends affecting them. We believe that the future direction of the Coast Guard must be consistent with the service's enduring characteristics and its history and traditions. This report contains a brief history of the organization, a description of Coast Guard purpose and responsibilities, and a discussion of service identity and characteristics, organizational motivation, and national contributions. The reader should understand that his document represents an outsiders view of the Coast Guard.
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Looking Out to 2020: Trends Relevant to the Coast Guard
May 1, 1997
In December 1995, the Vice Commandant of the Coast Guard asked CNA to help support the development of a capstone document that describes today's Coast Guard and includes a framework within which to portray its continued relevance to the United States. CNA responded with its Future Directions Study for the United States Coast Guard. The study focused on three issues: traditions, trends, and implications for the service as a whole. In November 1996, the Future Directions study team briefed the senior Coast Guard leadership on our initial findings. The product of the this briefing includes a discussion of Coast Guard core values and characteristics, relevant trends, and four notional end states representing the potential impact of these trends. This document supports that initial, summary presentation of trends with more detailed description of our research.
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Coast Guard Future Directions Study: Capstone Support Analysis
May 1, 1997
This analysis is intended to support Coast Guard development of a capstone publication that articulates a vision of the Coast Guard of 2020. We present our supporting analysis in the following three sections. In section 2, we describe our view of the purpose and enduring characteristics of the Coast Guard, a sea-going armed service within the Department of Transportation. We believe that any vision of the Coast Guard's future must be consistent with its purpose and enduring characteristics. In section 3, we describe how existing Coast Guard missions will be transformed as the Coast Guard moves into the 21st century. In section 4, we describe alternative plans for the Coast Guard to consider in developing its vision. See also CAB 96-96, CIM 499, and CRM 97-17.
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