Research for 1995

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June 1, 1998
This paper combines material from the session on Haiti and Operation UPHOLD DEMOCRACY at the Center for Naval Analyses (CNA) 1995 Annual Conference: 'Military Support to Complex Humanitarian Emergencies: From Practice to Policy.' The Haiti panel discussion was part of Session I: 'Reports From the Fronts: What Our Military Does Today to Support Responses to Complex Humanitarian Emergencies.' Although the proceedings from the conference have been published elsewhere, this paper incorporates conference read-ahead material with session details that have not previously been published. The paper has two parts. The first part contains material distributed before the sessions began. The second section is an edited summary of the Haiti panel discussion.
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April 1, 1996
The purpose of Emerald Express was to bring together senior representatives from military, relief, political, and diplomatic communities to address issues that arise during Humanitarian Assistance and Peace Operations (HA/POs). In this paper, we describe the analysis resulting from Emerald Express '95 (EE95). CNA supported EE95 by providing a series of read-ahead summaries on issues such as coalition operations, mission statement development, and coordination between the military and humanitarian relief organizations. CNA also provided annotated briefings based on early findings of the HAO study team at the time of Emerald Express. This material was intended to raise issues for discussion. During the exercise itself, CNA analysts participated in and observed the working groups.
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March 1, 1996
The Commander, U.S. Seventh Fleet, asked CNA to assess the security environment of the Asia-Pacific Region between now and 2010. This memorandum identifies the most probable evolutionary trends for the Indian Ocean Region, with particular emphasis on the largest factor, India. Research team members conducted interviews with officials, officers, and scholars in Washington, New Delhi, and Islamabad, and in Hawaii with CINCPAC staff members, and East-West Center and other University of Hawaii scholars. The project team also drew heavily on expert opinion available in Washington, at the Departments of State and Defense, at the National Defense University and from the intelligence and scholarly communities.
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March 1, 1996
The Commander, Seventh Fleet, asked CNA to assess the security environment of the Asia-Pacific Region (APR) between now and 2010. This research memorandum focuses on the most probable trends relating to Southeast Asia and Australia during this period. It discusses a few countries and issues at somewhat disproportionate length where circumstances appeared to warrant it - Vietnam because of its long isolation, Australia because of its long alliance relationship with the United States, and South China Sea territorial claims because of the complexity of the issues.
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December 1, 1995
The Commander, Seventh Fleet asked the Center for Naval Analyses to assess the security environment of the Asia-Pacific Region (APR) between now and 2010. This research memorandum assesses trends in those demographic, health, social, agricultural, and sustenance issues with the potential effects for security throughout the region. Data presented are for the most recent years or decades, and projections are for the 15-year period 1995-2010 unless otherwise specified.
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September 1, 1995
This annotated briefing presents the findings of the quick-response project, Combat Casualty Management Issues in Future Operational Environments. This project is sponsored by the Deputy for Marine Corps Naval Matters (N093M). It is an outgrowth of Kernel Blitz '95, an amphibious exercise that used mostly traditional concepts of operation and had a relatively large amount of medical play. Under this traditional amphibious scenario, lessons were learned that should lead to improved medical support. But in the future, medical support for Naval Expeditionary Forces will face different and perhaps more difficult challenges. Cleared for Open Publication by CNO Ser 09N2/6U532300 of 12 Jul 1996; CNO Case No. 96-153.
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September 1, 1986
Tanker tonnage and the numbers of tankers available to support U.S. forces in wartime are projected for 1990, 1995, 2000, and 2010. The key finding of the analysis is that the supply of tankers will fall far short of estimated Department of Defense (DOD) requirements. This rapid shrinkage of tankers is deemed likely because domestic crude oil production is projected to decline substantially, and because additional pipeline construction is underway. If DOD continues to rely on the Ready Reserve Force to fill the shortfall in numbers of available tankers, by the mid-1990s the fleet of reserve tankers would have to be expanded to about triple the size DOD currently anticipates. Accordingly, the study recommends that the Navy consider the alternative policy of outsourcing for delivering fuel to armed forces during wartime. rtime.
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