Research for Policy Analysis

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July 31, 2010

On 24 May 2010, CNA gathered a group of current and past policymakers, academics, and other regional experts to discuss the current situation in Yemen with a particular focus on how Yemen’s neighbors might influence, for good or ill, future outcomes. This report provides an overview of the most salient issues raised by the participants.

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June 1, 2010

On March 31, 2010, CNA China Studies hosted a half-day roundtable to discuss China’s relations with and activities in Pakistan. Thisreport summarizes key themes heard at this event.

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March 1, 2010

At their 15th year of service, military personnel who are eligible and intend to serve for 20 years must choose either: (1) High-3 retirement plan or (2) A reduced retirement (REDUX) and a $30,000 bonus paid at the 15th year of service. This paper is designed to help servicemembers make that decision. We describe the REDUX/bonus option as an early, partial cash-out of the servicemember’s retirement pension that the member pays back in the form of reduced retirement checks over his or her entire lifetime. We calculate how much the servicemember will “pay back” (the reduction in pension benefits) and we calculate the implied APR or interest rate for this loan. For example, an E-7 who retires at age 38 with 20 years of service is paying an implicit interest rate of 14.5% and would see his or her retired pay reduced by $370,030 if he or she lived to 79 years. Even if the servicemember received the bonus tax free, the repayment amount is over 10 times the amount of the loan ($30,000). If the servicemember lives to 85, the repayment amount would be $489,310. For virtually all servicemembers, choosing REDUX/bonus is a bad (and costly) decision. (Click here to access CNA's 2010 Retirement Choice Calculator)

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March 1, 2010

As the price of energy rose dramatically in recent years, school districts suddenly faced unexpected increases in energy bills not accounted for in school budgets. This report examines energy expenditures in Tennessee school districts for 2002/03–2007/08 to see how much energy’s share of district spending rose and whether the increase disproportionately affected districts with certain characteristics. Prepared by Regional Educational Laboratory (REL) Appalachia, administered by CNA Education.

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March 1, 2010

Under the accountability provisions of the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, states are required to assess students in reading and math and to identify them as below proficient or as proficient or advanced (both considered passing). Because schools are held accountable only for ensuring that students test proficient or better, there have been concerns that a focus on increasing the percentage of students testing proficient might unintentionally lead to fewer students testing at the advanced level. This report finds that schools in Kentucky and Virginia with the greatest increases in the percentage testing proficient or better also have the greatest increases in the percentage testing advanced. Prepared by Regional Educational Laboratory (REL) Appalachia, administered by CNA Education.

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January 1, 2010

Re-organization has been a conspicuous and continual phenomenon in the U.S. Navy’s Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (OPNAV) throughout the period examined in this volume.

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July 1, 2009

U.S. policy makers lack sufficient understanding of the populist Islamist milieu in the Middle East and fail to take into account the Islamists’ long-term objectives and extended time frame. This is particularly evident in the context of national elections. The observer originally spoke on the basis of non-attribution but agreed that we might make limited distribution of his comments if we preserved his anonymity.

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June 1, 2009

This manual describes the use and maintenance of the Personnel Inventory Aging and Promotion (PIAP) model and discusses its development, structure, and outputs. Additionally, the manual provides guidance for interpreting the model’s results. The PIAP model can be used to examine the effect of various manpower policy implementations and their future consequences to the Navy’s personnel profile. The user may analyze how policy changes will affect promotion tempo, promotion rates, likelihood of promotion, time in service, time in grade, separation rates, and future gaps between requirements and personnel. The PIAP model resides in an Access database and includes an Excel workbook that compiles, processes, and formats the data for analysis.

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April 1, 2009

The report examines rates of participation in West Virginia’s universal, voluntary pre-k program from 2002/03 to 2006/07. It describes the share of seats provided by collaborative partners and public school systems and analyzes participation rates by demographic and socioeconomic subgroup and county characteristics. Prepared by Regional Educational Laboratory (REL) Appalachia, administered by CNA Education.

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April 1, 2009

This study estimates the economic burdens borne by the family and friends who provide non-medical care, support, and assistance to seriously wounded, ill, and injured (WII) service members. Caregivers of the WII face many economic challenges as a result of being a caregiver. These include making housing/location changes, inability to meet existing financial obligations, additional/new financial obligations, and additional childcare arrangements. Many of these challenges are a result of caregivers having to permanently or temporarily forgo earnings and benefits to be a caregiver. We estimate that about three out of every four caregivers had to quit or taken time off from either work or school. For those working or in school prior to caregiving, this figure is 85 percent. We estimate that (1) the average earnings and benefits of caregivers is $3,200 per month, (2) about 720 new WII service members need a caregiver each year, and (3) service members need a caregiver an average of 19 months. Given these figures, the average earnings and benefits losses for a caregiver are $60,300. Across all 720 caregivers, annual economic losses are $43.4 million.

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