Projecting the Retention of Navy Careerists

This report quantifies the link between civilian job growth and military retention for Navy enlisted personnel. The magnitude of this effect is identified--at both the first and second re-enlistment decision points--for highly technical ratings and for ratings which are not highly technical. The effect that future civilian job growth will have on the chances that Navy personnel will reenlist or leave is then projected, using occupational forecasts for the next decade provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.