This paper examines four potential post-Kim Chong-il scenarios: continuation of the Kim regime, albeit in a weaker state; collapse of the Kim regime and replacement by another, weak regime; collapse of the Kim regime followed by chaos; and, collapse of the Kim regime followed by conflict.
For the US armed forces, cyberspace—defined by DoD as “a global domain within the information environment ”—is more than just a medium for communication. It is increasingly understood as a realm for war-fighting.1 Cyberwarfare, according to two leading students of the subject, includes the denial of services central to an adversary’s military operations, “from logistics support to actual warfighting systems, and might [also] include rapid, coordinated attacks to deny network connectivity.”
This volume surveys the record of USN and USAF cooperation and rivalry since the beginning of the 20th century, with special emphasis on the period from 1970 to 2010.
This paper explores the trade-offs of conscription versus an all volunteer force in Afghanistan. The main question is whether instituting conscription in the Afghan army is advisable or not. The Afghan military today is an all volunteer force.
This monograph explores police mentoring in Afghanistan by US and UK military forces during the 2007-2009 period. In a series of ten vignettes, this study examines efforts to advise, train, and support elements of the Afghan National Police (ANP) in northern, eastern, and southern Afghanistan. These vignettes explore the mentoring of ANP units, as well as the advising of individual chiefs of police at the district and province levels. The intended audience is US Marines and other personnel deploying to theater.
This book provides a glimpse into what relatively small military units—teams, platoons, companies, and highly dispersed battalions—have done to roll back the insurgency in some of the more remote areas of Afghanistan. The focus is on counterinsurgency at the tactical and local levels.
On 25 October 2010, CNA’s Center for Strategic Studies organized a workshop to examine Libya’s role in Sudan, the Horn of Africa, and the Sahel under Libyan leader Muammar al-Qadhafi. Panelists and workshop participants were drawn from academia, think tanks, and the U.S. government.
On 24 May 2010, CNA gathered a group of current and past policymakers, academics, and other regional experts to discuss the current situation in Yemen with a particular focus on how Yemen’s neighbors might influence, for good or ill, future outcomes. This report provides an overview of the most salient issues raised by the participants.
Climate change poses challenges to societies and governments that go far beyond the alteration of our environment. The physical impacts of climate change, including gradual but steady increases in temperature, changing precipitation patterns, the reduction of glaciers and Arctic ice, rising sea levels and changes in coastlines, and more intense and frequent extreme weather events, will affect human lives in numerous ways.
Climate change poses challenges to societies and governments that go far beyond the alteration of our environment. The physical impacts of climate change, including gradual but steady increases in temperature, changing precipitation patterns, the reduction of glaciers and Arctic ice, rising sea levels and changes in coastlines, and more intense and frequent extreme weather events, will affect human lives in numerous ways. While climate change does not by itself create new security threats, it does act as a threat multiplier. It exacerbates existing political weaknesses and social tensions in countries around the world, and creates demands for state services and assistance—including security—which at times may exceed the capacity of governments to respond. In this sense, the growing likelihood of events such as mass migrations, crop failures, economic shocks, public riots and violence, floods and other natural disasters, widespread epidemics, and competition for resources pose serious challenges for governments and security forces worldwide.