Selected Studies

CNA Resource Analysis Publications

Housing Benefits: Baseline Analysis
April 1, 1997
To improve the quality of life of service members and increase overall efficiency, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Installations and Facilities asked CNA to examine Department of the Navy (DON) housing processes, identify options and alternatives to the current system, and evaluate these options. In this paper, we present our analysis of current DON housing practices. Its purpose is to describe the current state of housing benefits, including costs, conditions, processes, and value to the service members. These descriptions will serve as a baseline for comparison with proposed alternatives to the current housing system. This paper has five parts. In the first, we give a short overview of current DON housing benefits and summarize the results of the study. In the three sections that follow, we discuss current family housing, bachelor housing, and off-base allowances. In the last section, we list our conclusions.
Read More | Download Report
An Approach to Monitoring Readiness Data
March 1, 1997
During our studies of naval readiness issues, we have identified some persistent questions about monitoring readiness. In this paper, we try to answer three of those questions: What should be the goal or baseline for readiness in the Navy? Is current readiness moving toward traditional hollowness, away from hollowness, or in a different direction altogether? How can we compress many indicators of readiness into one or a few indicators? The approaches we used data on readiness and personnel quality for active surface combatants and then replicate the analysis for fighter and attack aircraft squadrons.
Read More | Download Report
Understanding Aircraft Readiness: An Empirical Approach
March 1, 1997
In the wake of a changing defense climate, the Navy is continuing to find ways to adjust to its smaller size while maintaining its ability to respond when required. An important part of strategy is to monitor readiness during the downsizing process. The first step toward managing readiness is to understand what readiness is and why it changes over time or among units. This paper contributes to the further understanding of readiness by identifying the relationship between standard readiness measures and their determinants for Navy fighter, attack, and fighter/attack aircraft. The analysis is an extension of our earlier work on explaining the readiness of surface combatants. Our objective was to build a comprehensive database of navy fighter and attack units over time and identify readiness trends and relationships between readiness determinants and readiness measures where they exist.
Read More | Download Report
A Privatization Primer: Issues and Evidence
January 1, 1997
This study was sponsored by the Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Logistics (N4) who asked us to assemble the lessons learned in outsourcing and privatization. Earlier work for this study identified new opportunities for the Navy and identified initial lessons learned at a Navy technical center. This study also identified specific ways to streamline the competition process required by OMB Circular A-76, and initial findings of five outsourcing and competition case studies reported in earlier reports issued from this project. In this final report, we focus on privatization, as distinct from outsourcing. We make the distinction clearer in the body of the paper. For this report, we reviewed the economics literature to determine whether (and if so, why) public sector firms are inherently less efficient that private sector firms. We conducted case studies of the office of Personnel Management (OPM) privatization of its background investigations unit, and the Naval Air Warfare Center (NAWC) - Indianapolis privatization. We also examined the competition program run by the City of Indianapolis for many of its city services, including the outsourcing of the local wastewater treatment plant. Finally, we collected information on other privatization, both in the United States and abroad.
Read More | Download Report
Case Studies in DoD Outsourcing
January 1, 1997
As part of the ongoing Outsourcing Opportunities for the Navy study, CNA was asked to think about how to implement new outsourcing and privatization initiatives. Because DoD has substantial experience in relying on the private sector for goods and services, we chose to assemble some of those experiences and look for common lessons learned. This report presents recently completed case studies in training, housing, maintenance, and base operating support.
Read More | Download Report
Analysis of DOD's Commercial Activities Program
December 1, 1996
In 1955, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) implemented a policy known as the Commercial Activities (CA) Program. This program enables the private sector to compete with government organizations in providing goods and services when it is appropriate and economical to do so. The objective is to promote an efficient support structure through competition. This research memorandum is part of a CNA-initiated research effort examining the DoD Commercial Activities program. Most of our previous research has examined the Navy CA program. This paper presents the results of all completed DoD comprehensive A076 competitions between 1978 and 1994.
Read More | Download Report
1996 CNA/RAND Infrastructure Symposium
December 1, 1996
The Director of Shore Installation Management (N46) sponsored CNA's participation in an Infrastructure Symposium with RAND from October 16 to 18, 1996 at the RAND Santa Monica facility. Both CNA and RAND have a long history of research in defense infrastructure. By working together, they can build upon each other's research and plan future research better than if they work in isolation. DoD continues to struggle with how to operate more effectively and fulfill its mission when resources are shrinking. In particular, DoD is looking to create a more efficient infrastructure to make funds available for recapitalization and modernization. The primary purpose of the symposium was to synthesize the results of previous and ongoing research projects and thereby identify the best areas and approaches for future research. This paper represents the views of the CNA participants. As many of the results reported were preliminary, we avoid detailing the findings.
Read More | Download Report
Synopsis of Information Requirements in Future Medical Operations
November 1, 1996
This CNA annotated briefing (CAB) summarizes the findings of the Information Requirements in Future Medical Operations project, sponsored by the Deputy for Marine Corps Medical Matters (N093M). This CAB is a synopsis of the project and focuses on the implications of our research rather than the methodological details of how we reached our conclusions.
Read More | Download Report
Wartime Medical Requirements Models: A Comparison of MPM, MEPES, and LPX-MED
October 1, 1996
The end of the Cold War has led to a major reexamination of the requirements fir medical personnel and other resources necessary to care for Department of Defense (DoD) beneficiaries. Despite large numbers of peacetime beneficiaries, the primary need for medical resources remains the wartime mission. During the Cold War, the requirement for wartime medical providers was high and could easily justify large numbers of active duty personnel. Today's defense guidance is based on fighting two major regional contingencies (MRCs), and the required number of medical providers has fallen sharply. Determining the number and types of medical resources needed to treat casualties of future conflicts is an important and complicated issue. To help shed light on the process of determining wartime medical requirements, N-931 asked CNA to examine the methods and models that are currently in use or may be used in the near future. The current process is in flux. The models used today are being changed. The use of one model was discontinued recently when the Joint Staff changed to a new command-and-control system. The Joint Staff has proposed a replacement, but the new model is still being developed and there is some concern about its adequacy in determining service medical requirements. In this memorandum, we examine the current and proposed theater-level requirements models.
Read More | Download Report
Getting the Most Out of Integrated Product Teams (IPTs)
October 1, 1996
An Integrated Product Team (IPT) is a multi-functional team formed for the specific purpose of delivering a product or developing a process or policy. IPTs are set up to foster parallel rather than sequential decisions and to guarantee that all aspects of the product, process, or policy are considered throughout the development process. To most organizations, IPTs represent a fundamental departure from past practice, one that requires changes to structures, policies, processes, and even philosophy. Consequently, IPTs need strong high-level and middle-management support and continual reinforcement to succeed. In 1995, secretary of Defense Perry directed the use of IPTs for defense acquisition. In this paper, we examine government, industry, and academia's experience with IPTs. Based on our research, we recommend ways to better implement this new management approach.
Read More | Download Report

A Review of Millennial Generation Characteristics and Military Workforce Implications

As military missions increase in frequency, variety, and complexity, the need for quality, skilled, and deployable members to fulfill missions becomes more critical. Active enlisted recruitment targets in 2007 surpassed 180,000; however, there are growing difficulties in meeting recruiting goals. To complicate matters, the retirement of Baby Boomers over the next decade has the potential to leave huge gaps in the workforce. These gaps must be filled by a new generation known as the Millennials (that segment of the population born between 1980 and 2000). The American workforce is changing demographically and becoming more complex and diverse generationally, culturally, and racially. Finally, the political and economic climate has been in a state of unrest since September 11th, 2001—the beginning of the global war on terror and the subsequent wars in the Middle East. Yet employers, both military and civilian, must try to maintain workflows, missions, and goals. In a workforce climate with so many competing factors, what will it take to attract, recruit, and retain productive workers, and what role will generational change play? The 10th Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation (QRMC) asked CNA to conduct background research on Millennials (also known as the Internet Generation, Generation Next, Echo Boom, etc.) to explore the potential impact of targeted policies, especially compensation and retirement, on this cohort.

View Study

A Review of the Navy's JAG Corps (study in progress, to be completed June 2008)

In 2006, the Navy's Judge Advocate General (JAG) Corps asked the Center for Naval Analyses to review its organization and staffing, and the services it provides. CNA's Resource Analysis Division, which conducts research on manpower and personnel issues, is leading the two-year study, which will: survey the legal and other services the JAG Corps provides to the Navy and other government agencies; assess the quantity and quality of those services; assess the current numbers and propose mixes of JAG Corps personnel to determine how well they would suit the organization's assignments; and recommend ways to optimize the JAG Corps's provision of legal services.

View Study Summary

Black and Hispanic Marines: Their Accession, Representation, Success, and Retention in the Corps

An updated and expanded report on minorities' service in the Marine Corps, this study conducted by CNA researchers by order of the Marine Corps Commandant, looks at the make up of the Corps "to ensure that enlisted Marines and officers reflect the racial and ethnic characteristics of broader American society."

View Report
View News Release

Functional Review of the Judge Advocate General (JAG) Corps

Researchers from the Center for Naval Analyses have begun a review of the Navy's Judge Advocate General (JAG) Corps. The study will examine several issues, including how the JAG Corps can improve the way it provides legal services

View the Navy's Press Release

Marine Corps Deployment and Retention in FY05

CNA researchers analyzed the effects of wartime deployments on Marines making reenlistment decisions. Despite the challenges involved in regular and often long deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan, the Marine Corps successfully met its fiscal 2005 reenlistment goals.

The researchers found that:

  • First-term Marines were less likely to reenlist if they had been deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan.
  • Career Marines and commissioned officers were more likely to reenlist if they were deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan.
  • Single Marines, particularly first-termers, were less likely to reenlist than Marines with families.

Full Document

Personnel Management

Military Compensation Reform in the Department of the Navy

Policy-makers and analysts have consistently pointed to the need to reform the military compensation system. In this study for the Department of the Navy, which encompasses the Navy and the Marine Corps, economists Michael Hansen and Martha Koopman say that despite the broad consensus, transforming the system into a set of compensation tools that are aligned with the department's objectives will not be easy.

In reforming its compensation system, the authors recommend that the Department of the Navy:

  • Seek to reduce, but not eliminate, across-the-board compensation. This will allow the department to retain certain useful across-the-board salary increases while having more flexibility in using targeted pay raises.
  • Modify its existing compensation tools so that the system can reward high performance.
  • Reduce the compensation system's emphasis on deferred compensation, such as retirement pay and retiree health care, by repealing recent enhancements or, at a minimum, by aggressively resisting any further increases.

Full Document

Does Education Reform Make Recruiting More Difficult?

The number of young people who receive General Education Development (GED) certificates rather than high school diplomas has increased recently. At the same time, states are tightening their requirements for high school graduation. These changes have the potential to make recruiting more difficult because military policies strictly limit the number who may enlist without a high school diploma.

CNA researchers examined data from the 2000 Census, as well as Navy and Marine Corps service records, to discover the effects of these changing education policies and found that the changes help some civilians but harm others. Within the Navy and Marine Corps, the effects are more muted. The policies have not affected attrition rates, but have had some influence on the quality of recruits.

Full Document

Statistical Analysis of Hearing Loss among Navy Personnel

In 2004, the Veterans Administration (VA) spent $108 million dollars on hearing loss disability payments to nearly 16,000 former Navy personnel—an increase of $65 million since 1999.

CNA researchers undertook a study to assess how hearing loss relates to service time aboard ships, with the aim of reducing disabilities and costs, by examining the medical hearing test records of nearly 251,000 enlisted sailors and officers from 1979 to 2004. Comparing enlisted sailors who spent most of a 24-year Navy career assigned to a surface warship and similar sailors who spent their entire careers on shore duty, they found a 19 percentage point increase in probability that the sea-based sailors would leave the Navy with some hearing loss.

The study’s authors made several recommendations, among them that the Navy:

  • Identify opportunities for improved ship design. Locating sleeping quarters in an insulated, low-noise area, for example, would improve hearing loss recovery and prevent permanent disabilities
  • Assess whether certain ships types are more apt to cause hearing loss among sailors than others
  • Further investigate the type of ear protection it provides its personnel. For example, are ear muffs more effective than ear plugs?
  • Gather VA data on individuals who collect hearing loss disability payments to see whether there is a relationship between the time they spent at various duty stations and their disability

A follow-up study addressing the opportunities for further research is due out in late 2006.

Full Document

Non-citizens in Today’s Military

Legal permanent residents, or green card holders, are highly successful in the military, which bodes well for the Department of Defense as it examines future recruiting prospects.

The study points out that today’s foreign-born U.S. population is the largest in history, and immigrants will fuel much of the future growth among America’s youth. The authors conclude that this population could help alleviate recruiting gaps and meet current and future personnel needs, while also providing needed opportunities for new immigrants. Of the 16 million foreign-born people who came to the United States between 1990 and 2002, almost a quarter were under age 21.

But despite a large pool of roughly 1.5 million non-citizens, there are obstacles to their recruitment. The military services require that at least 90 percent of its recruits have a high school diploma, and many recent immigrants have not completed high school. Limited English proficiency among non-citizens is another challenge.

The study’s authors recommend that in order to further facilitate recruitment and retention of non-citizens, the Department of Defense should:

  • Develop recruiting materials aimed at non-citizens that explain eligibility for expedited citizenship, the benefits of filing for citizenship while in the military, and the benefits of attaining citizenship.
  • Consider more structured, installation-based assistance that would help non-citizen service members and their dependents with the citizenship process.
  • Investigate, through the Office of the Secretary of Defense, whether more uniform treatment of non-citizens across the military services is needed. Military policy is generally uniform across the services, but in matters of recruitment, reenlistment, and use of non-citizen service members, the policies of each service branch differ.

Research Brief
Full Document

Proceedings from the Navy’s Fifth Annual Workforce Conference:
Building on the Pillars of the Navy’s Human Capital Strategy

The fifth annual Navy Workforce Research and Analysis conference, held in April 2005, convened researchers from think tanks, academia, and Navy leadership and featured research presentations on manpower, personnel, and training.

Full Document
2004 Proceedings

Recruiting Hispanics: The Marine Corps Experience

The Marine Corps has been very successful at recruiting Hispanics, and Hispanic recruits do extremely well in the Marine Corps. This study highlights several challenges that may affect the Services' ability to recruit Hispanics in the future—including high levels of high school dropout rates, language fluency of recruits and their parents, and citizenship status. Recommended actions that the Department of Defense (DoD) or any organization interested in this segment of the population can take to ensure the continued success of Hispanic recruits include:

  • Supporting a stay-in-school campaign
  • Urging that the federal government raise the minimum age for taking the GED exam
  • Translating recruiting brochures and materials into a variety of languages
  • Adding country-of-origin identification to accession data
  • Ensuring Green Card Service members have information about legal permanent residency and expedited citizenship.

The Hispanic population has grown dramatically over time—from 5 percent of the population in 1975 to over 12 percent in 2003. In fact, Hispanics are the largest minority population in the United States today, and the population is predicted to grow 25 percent over the next decade. Whether recruiting for the military or for the civilian workforce, understanding how to attract and retain this segment of the U.S. population is becoming increasingly important.

Full Document

CNA's Retirement Choice Calculator: Computing DoD's Retirement Options

CNA's Retirement Choice Calculator lets future military retirees determine how much they would earn under DoD's High-3 retirement plan, which bases retirement pay on the highest average basic pay for three years of a career, or under the REDUX plan, which provides a $30,000 upfront bonus with smaller retirement checks over time. (The differing plans affect service members who joined the military after July 31, 1986.)

The calculator, developed as part of CNA’s Retirement Choice study, allows service members to determine which plan would earn them the most money based on factors including their retirement age, years of service, and the rank at which they will retire.

Full Document
View Calculator

The Effect of Enlistment Bonuses on First-Term Tenure Among Navy Enlistees

CNA examined, for the Navy Personnel Plans and Policy Division, the influence of enlistment bonuses on Navy enlistees' attrition behavior during the first term of service.

The enlistment bonus is one of the more flexible tools that the Navy has to meet its recruiting goals. The enlistment bonus can be offered at different levels to various classes of accessions. The Navy has traditionally employed these bonuses to meet several objectives and has been eager to assess the effectiveness of the enlistment bonus and the impact of enlistment bonuses on various aspects of the career decision of enlisted personnel.

Enlistment bonuses have typically been viewed as being useful in recruiting—routing personnel to a specific branch of Service, directing recruits into hard-to-fill ratings, extending sailors' obligated service, and increasing accessions during off-peak months. The findings of this study suggest that enlistment bonuses may have a secondary effect, decreasing attrition.

Full Document

Statistical Analysis of US Marine Corps Non-Combat Accidental Deaths

The Marine Corps sought to understand how individual characteristics and events may be associated with fatal accidents among Marines, in cars or in other non-combat related accidents.

The objective of the study was to determine the variety of factors that explain accidental fatality rates. The information has helped the Marine Corps to tailor safety messages to the points in a Marine's career where risk is high. Further, this study recommends that those in positions of direct leadership intervene proactively to reduce fatalities among those identified as most at risk.

Workers' Compensation: The Case for Improved Department of the Navy Management

CNA first looked at the Department of the Navy's workers' compensation program in 2001. At the request of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy (Safety), CNA recently updated its original analysis of the Navy's worker compensation program and recommended ways to help control costs while helping to return employees to the workplace as soon as possible.

Resource Management

Military Sealift Command Management Review: Framework for Change

The Military Sealift Command (MSC) asked CNA to review command wide personnel resource allocation, provide a plan to maximize the allocation of resources and recommend required personnel reductions.

MSC strives to improve the quality of service and reduce the cost of its services. Additionally, in September 2001, the Navy's major claimants were directed to reduce the workforce at major headquarters by 15 percent. This paper explores and provides the options available to MSC in responding to both tasks.

Navy Oil Spills in San Diego: Recent Trends and Future Prevention

The study builds on previous CNA work regarding the impact of oil spills and the Navy's efforts to reduce oil spills in the San Diego area. We analyzed and updated data to determine the root causes of oil spills and to make recommendations for further reductions.

The DoD Toxic Release Inventory: Outlook for Meeting the New 2006 Reduction Goal

At the request of the Assistant Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Environment, CNA reviewed DoD toxic release inventory data and recommended ways to meet new goals of toxic chemical reduction on federal facilities by 2006.

Impact of Marine Mammal Protection Requirements on Navy Operations

Marine mammals receive special protection under the Marine Mammal Protection Act and in many cases under the Endangered Species Act. Federal agencies, such as the Navy, are required by law to consider the potential environmental impacts of their actions on marine life. In this study CNA examines the impact of marine mammal mitigation measures on naval operations and training.

Smartship Metrics and Return on Investment

CNA determined, for the Navy, the appropriate cost/benefit metrics and performed a return on investment analysis for the systems and technologies collectively known as the Smartship Integrated Ship Controls System. The Navy developed this group of integrated systems and technologies to improve the efficiency of ship manning and maintenance.

Material & Logistics Management

Results on the Cost of the Naval Flight Hour Program

This briefing summarizes CNA's analysis of the Flight Hour Program, which includes aviation depot-level repair (AVDLR) of components. Most of our analysis focuses on AVDLR costs; however, we also include some results from our analyses of the costs of disposable/consumable parts connected with aircraft repair.

A Model to Study Consolidation and Its Impact on MC Rates and Other Readiness Measures

CNA investigated the ways in which customer wait times, cannibalization, and maintenance consolidations affect the material readiness of aircraft. We also developed several new metrics in the course of this analysis to help the Navy better understand and measure consolidation actions and their effect on mission-capable rates and other readiness measures.

Acquisition & Contracts

Designing Auctions to Generate Procurement Savings

The use of online auctions to procure routinely needed supplies and equipment has become widespread throughout DoD and other government agencies. These auctions have traditionally used a sealed-bid format in which potential suppliers are unable to view or respond to competing bids. Under a pilot program at Defense Supply Center Columbus, some items were switched to an open-bid format. CNA analysis of the purchase prices showed that open bidding lowered prices by up to 4 percent. While switching the bidding format may not yield savings in all cases, these results suggests government procurement agencies seeking the most competitive prices should carefully consider (or even experiment with) their procurement auction formats.

Choosing R&D Technology Investments

This paper examines several methods by which the Office of Naval Research can choose from among a diverse assortment of investments in research and development for science and technology, to achieve the defense goals of the Navy and the United States as a whole.

Facility Management

Installing Electric Meters at Navy Facilities: Benefits and Costs

CNA examines the costs and benefits of installing advanced electric meters and the development of an implementation strategy. Advanced electric meters can help energy managers track electricity consumption. The study was completed in anticipation of Congressional legislation that would require electric meters to be installed at federal facilities.

Housing

Does School Quality Influence Housing Choices of Navy Personnel

CNA explores the relationship between school quality and service members' housing decisions.

Many Navy personnel have a choice between military housing and civilian housing. Those with school-aged children often cited school quality as an important factor in the home buying process.

Do Military Families Achieve the American Dream? A Comparison of Navy, Marine Corps and Civilian Home Ownership Rates

Buying a home is often the biggest investment decision a family will make. Military home ownership rates are often reported to be lower than civilian rates. To test whether this is true and to learn more about the relationship between military and civilian home ownership rates, CNA looked at the rates for Navy and Marine Corps personnel who live off-base and compares those rates with civilian home ownership rates.

Housing Characteristics of Young Civilian Bachelors

One measure of suitability of military housing standards is to compare it to housing occupied by civilians with similar characteristics. In this analysis we compare housing choices of young, unmarried civilians who are similar to junior sailors. CNA conducted this study in support of the Department of Defense's effort to improve the quality of enlisted bachelor quarters.